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College Football Week 3 Betting Picks

Another great weekend of college football here and I’m not about to shy away from the biggest games. Below are my picks for those, which I also discussed on Outkick the Coverage with Clay Travis on Friday. 

Florida State AT Louisville (-1, 68.5)

About 60 percent of bets are on Florida State here and you probably could’ve guessed that everybody with money in their wallet is hammering the OVER. The line opened at 63 and moved up to 68.5. Louisville leads the country in points per game. Highest-scoring team in the nation at home getting points? I’ll take Louisville. 

Ohio State AT Oklahoma (-1, 63) 

Bettors are siding heavily with Ohio State in this one and the line has moved a point so I’d say oddsmakers are pretty comfortable with their line here. Gimme Urban Meyer over Bob Stoops in these big games and I like the Big 10 vs. the Big 12 here. The Big 12 is the worst bet of any conference in non-con games so far at 14-7 SU and 6-13 ATS. I’m on Ohio State. 

Alabama at Ole Miss (-11.5, 54.5) 

I think the public is just going to take Alabama until the money stops coming in. They are heavy on Bama in this one and the line opened -10. I think the ‘double revenge’ factor is a real influence in this line and I just believe that’s something that’s overrated in general. I think it’s too many points and there’s some sharp love on the home dog here so I’m on Ole Miss. 

Michigan State at Notre Dame (-8, 51) 

Most of the action is on Michigan State in this one, which is weird because the line moved up to 8 from 7.5. I think that means books actually opened this line a little low and then moved it up to where they thought it belonged. There’s definitely something strange about this line to me, though, because it feels like way too many points in this matchup. I’m actually going to fade the public and go with Notre Dame here.  

Other games I like: 

Vandy +6.5 at Georgia Tech 
USC +9 at Stanford 
Miss State +14 at LSU
Colorado +21 at Michigan
Miami -3.5 at Appalachian State

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