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Commodores Minutemen Betting Preview for Week 9

Massachusetts MinutemenVanderbilt Commodores
Oct 27, 7:00 PM | Grass of Vanderbilt Stadium

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Vanderbilt Commodores Odds


Vanderbilt Stadium will feature Commodores vs. Minutemen on Saturday as both teams try to pay off for bettors in Week 9 action.

They bring a 3-4 record (3-4 ATS) to the Week 9 battle against the 0-7 Minutemen, who are 2-5 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Vanderbilt go 2-4 so far and the Minutemen go 4-3.

View Massachusetts vs Vanderbilt Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Vanderbilt were sitting as 34-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Commodores - Minutemen odds would favor the Commodores if the lines were set according to power ranks. Vanderbilt is rated No. 48 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Minutemen sit at No. 124. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 22--5 win for the Commodores.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Vanderbilt's No. 108-ranked offense, averaging 20 PPG, against a Minutemen defense that ranks No. 119 this week at 40.7 PPG. The Commodores aerial game is averaging 210.4 yards per game, less than the Minutemen secondary allows through the air, 240.4 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Minutemen feature the league's No. 97-rated road run defense, allowing 231.2 yards per game. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, ranks No. 39 in rushing offense at home.

Massachusetts lost its last outing, a 24-0 result against Bowling Green on October 20. Massachusetts failed to cover in that game as a 19.5-point underdog, while the 24 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Massachusetts was hammered in its last outing, as Bowling Green ran up a 24-0 score against them at Gillette Stadium.

Vanderbilt was a 17-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against Auburn. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as favorites, while the total score (30) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, Vanderbilt got a 169-yard performance from Zac Stacy as a key part of its 17-13 win over Auburn.

Massachusetts Minutemen Trends:
When playing in October are 2-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 1-5
When playing outside the conference are 0-10

Vanderbilt Commodores Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 1-9
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few Minutemen at Commodores trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
Massachusetts is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Massachusetts is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games at home

Next up:
Massachusetts at Northern Illinois, Saturday, November 3
Vanderbilt at Kentucky, Saturday, November 3