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Commodores vs Demon Deacons Betting Preview

Wake Forest Demon DeaconsVanderbilt Commodores
4-7November 30, 2013, 12:21 | Vanderbilt Stadium7-4

Getting a win and covering the posted spread will be the goals for the Demon Deacons on Saturday when they take on the Commodores at Vanderbilt Stadium in Week 14 action.

The Commodores are 7-4 so far on the season, and 6-5 ATS vs. the number. The Demon Deacons, meanwhile, are 4-7 and 4-7 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Vanderbilt go 6-5 and the Demon Deacons go 2-9 on the totals.

View Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores Odds and Stats.

Vanderbilt were sitting as -14-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

The Commodores - Demon Deacons odds would favor the Commodores if the lines were set according to power ranks. Vanderbilt is rated No. 61 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Demon Deacons sit at No. 93. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 27-17 win for the Commodores.

In their last action, Wake Forest was a 28-21 loser at home against Duke. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (49) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Last time out, Tennessee could not slow down Jordan Matthews, who managed 133 receiving yards in the Commodores 14-10 victory over the Volunteers Saturday.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Vanderbilt's No. 63-ranked offense, averaging 29.73 PPG, against a Demon Deacons defense that ranks No. 43 this week at 24.18 PPG. The Commodores aerial game is averaging 230.27 yards per game, more than the Demon Deacons secondary allows through the air, 218.64 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Demon Deacons own the league's No. 87-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 202.2 yards per game when on the road. Vanderbilt, on the other hand, rates No. 93 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Demon Deacons at Commodores trends to consider:
Wake Forest is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Wake Forest is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games
Wake Forest is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games at home
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home