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SEC Championship: Florida vs Alabama

Florida NCAA Football

The SEC title hangs in the balance, and possibly a playoff spot when the Florida Gators and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Saturday at the Georgia Dome. The Gators have struggled mightily at the betting window when they face the Tide, with a paltry 1-8 ATS record in the past nine meetings between the two teams.

Shark Bites
  • Alabama is 7-0 SU in their last seven within the SEC.
  • Florida is 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games following a loss.
  • Treon Harris has three touchdowns and four interceptions in the past four games.

Florida limped through the end of the regular season as they could barely beat FAU and then got pounded 27-2 by Florida State. Florida has relied heavily on their defense all season long as they have held teams to 15.5 points per game and 111.3 rushing yards per game. The rushing defense of Florida needs to be in top form as they will need to stop Heisman favorite Derrick Henry.

Alabama looks like a playoff team, with only Florida standing in their way. The Tide’s one loss came back on September 20th against a then top-15 team. Henry has become the best running back in the country in the second half, with the junior rushing for 1132 yards and 12 touchdowns in the past six games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Alabama Crimson Tide were sitting as -17-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

A 37-20 result in favor of the Crimson Tide is the prediction by the Odds Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-1 so far on the season, and 7-5 ATS vs the point spread. The Florida Gators, meanwhile, are 10-2 and 7-5 ATS. Those over under betting have seen Alabama go 4-7-1 and the Florida Gators go 4-8 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Alabama vs Florida injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Alabama Crimson Tide rated this week at No. 3 and the Florida Gators sitting at No. 43.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Alabama's No. 34-ranked offense, averaging 34.5 PPG, against a Florida defense that ranks No. 5 this week at 15.5 PPG. The Alabama aerial game is averaging 215.17 yards per game, more than the Florida Gators secondary allows through the air, 171.67 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Florida Gators own the league's No. 15-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 115.75 yards per game when on the road. Alabama, on the other hand, rates No. 61 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Kelvin Taylor tore up the turf for 136 rushing yards in the latest Gators game, a 27-2 loss to the Seminoles at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

Auburn was unable to contain Derrick Henry in its last action Saturday and the result was a 29-13 Week 13 loss against the Crimson Tide.

Betting Trends
  • Florida is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
  • Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Florida is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
  • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Alabama's last 9 games
  • Alabama is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Florida