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Vanderbilt Commodores Open as Week 11 Betting Underdogs vs Gators

Florida Gators


Vanderbilt Commodores
Saturday, November 08, 2014 7:30 PM ET
Vanderbilt Stadium

The Florida Gators just pulled off a much-needed upset of Georgia last week, snapping a two game losing streak both SU and ATS.

But at 4-3 Florida still needs two more wins to become bowl-eligible. The Gators will try to get one of those wins when they take on 3-6 Vanderbilt Saturday night in Nashville.

Florida was an 11-point underdog last week against the Bulldogs, but broke loose for 418 yards on the ground on its way to a 38-20 victory. The Commodores, meanwhile, just beat Old Dominion 42-28, and are 5-1 ATS over their last six games. Vandy also broke a 22-game losing streak against the Gators with a 34-17 win last year at the Swamp.

Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores Opening Odds and Betting Line

Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Vanderbilt Commodores pegged as 13.5-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was 45 over at BetOnline.

Computer Prediction: Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores Pick

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 34-25 win for the Gators. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Florida Gators will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Saturday, as they are 3-4 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Vanderbilt Commodores are 5-4 ATS. Florida is 6-1 against the over under total, while Vanderbilt is 4-5 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Vanderbilt vs Florida injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Vanderbilt Commodores rated this week at No. 111 and the Florida Gators sitting at No. 61.

How Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores Stats Matchup

The game also pits Vanderbilt's No. 114-ranked offense, averaging 19.89 PPG, against a Florida defense that ranks No. 56 this week at 24.71 PPG. The Vanderbilt aerial game is averaging 177.33 yards per game, less than the Florida Gators secondary allows through the air, 216.71 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Florida Gators own the league's No. 18-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 121.67 yards per game when on the road. Vanderbilt, on the other hand, rates No. 106 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, Florida got a 197-yard performance from Kelvin Taylor as a key part of its 38-20 win over Georgia.

Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Odds Trends

Florida is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games
Florida is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Vanderbilt is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Florida home to South Carolina, Saturday, November 15th
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State, Saturday, November 22nd