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Free College Football Pick From Linebacker: Northwestern vs Minnesota

Linebacker Free pick Northwestern vs Minnesota

Northwestern Wildcats @ Minnesota Golden Gophers (NW -2.5, O/U 50)

A week after clinching the Big Ten West, Northwestern heads on the road to take on Minnesota, where Pat Fitzgerald’s Wildcats enter as 2.5-point favorites over the Golden Gophers. The Linebacker projects Northwestern to win by a score of 28.6 - 23.9 and cover the spread on the road. Linebacker suggests a wager of $85 on Northwestern -2.5 for a $100 average bettor.

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Why will Northwestern cover the spread?

  • Northwestern is the least penalized team in the country. Pat Fitzgerald’s squad averages just 3.1 penalties and 28.5 penalty yards per game. Their discipline should come in handy on the road, where they’ve posted a 4-0 record already this season.
  • Minnesota ranks 111th of 129 teams in turnover margin, having coughed up 22 on the season while only forcing 16.
  • The Wildcats rank 23rd in third-down defense, allowing opponents to convert just 32.9 percent of the time. Minnesota’s offense has struggled on third down this season, ranking 88th in the country with a 37.7 percent conversion rate.
  • Northwestern’s offense is predicated on throwing the football. They’ve attempted the most passes in the Big Ten while averaging the fewest rushing yards per game. The Golden Gophers have struggled to stop the pass, ranking 73rd in the country in pass efficiency defense. Their 1.8 sacks per game ranks 86th in the country, while their eight INTs are the fourth-fewest in the conference.

Northwestern @ Minnesota: How to bet the total

This game currently features an OVER/UNDER of 50. Linebacker’s projected score totals 52.5 points (28.6 - 23.9), giving us a preference on the OVER. Linebacker suggests a wager of $30 on OVER 50 for a $100 average bettor.