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Free College Football Pick From Linebacker: South Carolina vs Florida

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South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators (FLA -6, O/U 54)

The Florida Gators will play host to Will Muschamp’s Gamecocks on Saturday. The former Gator head coach leads a South Carolina team into The Swamp, where they are listed as 6-point underdogs. The Linebacker projects a final score of 29.9 - 19.8 in favor of the Gators, so we like Florida to cover the spread in this one. Linebacker suggests a $164 wager on Florida -6 for a $100 average bettor.

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Why will Florida cover the spread?

  • The Gators are coming off two tough losses to Georgia and Missouri, and now get to face a South Carolina team at home that has lost all three games vs ranked opponents.
  • South Carolina is 127th among 129 FBS teams in time of possession. This plays into Florida’s hands, considering its strength is defense and running the football, as well as forcing turnovers
  • Florida ranks 18th with a +6 turnover margin. SC is 105th with a -5 margin on the season, having forced only eight turnovers in as many games.
  • South Carolina likes to move the ball through the air, which could be tough against a Florida defense ranked 18th in passing defense and allowing just 179 passing yards per game.
  • Will Muschamp’s defense ranks 88th in the country against the run. Florida ranks fifth in the SEC (35th overall) with 56.1 percent of its plays ending in a run, while also sitting fifth in yards per carry (5.0).


South Carolina @ Florida: How to bet the total

This game currently features an OVER/UNDER of 54. Linebacker’s projected score totals 49.7 points (29.9 - 19.8), giving us a preference on the UNDER. Linebacker suggests a wager of $51 on UNDER 54 for an $100 average bettor.