Fresno State vs Boise State Picks & Odds: Broncos Eye More Success Vs Bulldogs

The Boise State Broncos (9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4, 5-7). The Broncos will look to keep things rolling against the Bulldogs in the Mountain West championship game this Saturday night in Boise.

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Fresno State vs Boise State Sportsbook Odds

The Broncos opened as 5.5-point favorites at home before heavy early betting action on the Bulldogs drove the Fresno State vs Boise State odds down to Boise State -3. The total in the Mountain West championship game has also seen significant movement up to 54 points after Sportsbook at 50.5 points. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven games between Fresno State and Boise State.

Get the best Fresno State vs Boise State odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

Fresno State Has Been Red-Hot Since Slow Start To The Season

Jeff Tedford’s second stint as head coach at Fresno State got off to a disastrous start as the Bulldogs went 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS through their first five games. But the Bulldogs haven’t lost since getting crushed 40-20 at Boise State back on October 8, compiling a 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS record since then with an average margin of victory of 21.3 points per game.

Fresno State wrapped up its regular season last Friday night with a 30-0 win at home against the Wyoming Cowboys. Jordan Mims rushed for 52 yards and three touchdowns on 16 carries in the blowout victory. Mims has scored at least one touchdown in each of Fresno State’s last seven games and will enter the MWC championship game with 1,078 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground this season.

Boise State One Win Away From Returning To The Top Of The MWC

Boise State rolled to a 42-23 win over the Utah State Aggies in its regular-season finale on Friday. Quarterback Taylen Green had his best game of the season, completing 14 of 23 passes for 220 yards and four touchdowns while adding 91 rushing yards and a score on six carries. Green has rushed for a touchdown in each of his last three games and has compiled 432 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns on 60 attempts this season.

Prior to finishing third in the Mountain West standings with a 7-5 SU record last season, the Broncos had finished in the top two every season since joining the conference in 2011. Boise State has won the Mountain West championship four times and will be looking to pick up its first conference championship since 2019 with a win on Saturday. The Broncos enter this matchup with a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record over their last eight games.

Fresno State: Keys To Victory

Since averaging only 23.6 points per game through its first five games, Fresno State has averaged 36.1 points over its last seven. If the Bulldogs can stay in form on offense against the Broncos, they’ve got a great shot at pulling off the upset as a Fresno State vs Boise State prediction.

Boise State: Keys To Victory

Boise State’s defense ranks seventh in the nation in total yards allowed with 284.7 per game and ninth in scoring defense, allowing 17.8 points per game. While the Broncos have been inconsistent on offense and could get the job done as a Fresno State vs Boise State pick with a good scoring day, their clearest path to a win and cover is with another great day on defense.

College Football Computer Pick: Boise State -3

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