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Broncos Battle Bulldogs in Rematch of 2014 MWC Conference Championship


The Boise State Broncos vie for their second Mountain West Conference championship game win on home turf in four years as they host the Fresno State Bulldogs on Saturday night at Albertsons Stadium. The Broncos saw a seven-game SU win streak halted with last week’s 28-17 loss at Fresno State as 6.5-point chalk. With that victory, the Bulldogs extended their SU surge to four games.

Shark Bites
  • Fresno State is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games against Boise State.
  • Boise State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of Fresno State’s last seven games after winning as an underdog.

The Broncos return to the MWC championship game for the first time since topping Fresno State 28-14 as 22.5-point home favorites in 2014. Boise State has been solid at home, posting three straight SU wins while surrendering just 15.7 points per game. The Broncos are also 14-2 ATS in their past 16 home dates when favored by 10 or fewer points.

Last week’s victory over Boise State lifts the Bulldogs to an impressive 7-1 SU against MWC opponents this season, halting a dismal 2-14 SU run that started with their 2014 championship game loss. The Bulldogs have dominated on the road during an 8-1 SU run, holding opponents to 10 or fewer points on three occasions in four SU wins, 3-0-1 ATS.

The home team has dominated in recent matchups between these squads, with each winning two straight. The Bulldogs have covered in three of those four outings, but have struggled to generate offense on the blue turf at Boise State, scoring 16 or fewer points five times during a 0-8 SU run.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as BetOnline had set the Boise State Broncos as 10-point favorites on the opening betting line for this contest. Watch for OVER/UNDER updates and superior underdogs lines at Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction formulas run early in the week pointed to a 32-26 win for the Broncos on Saturday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Boise State Broncos are 9-3 so far on the season, and 8-4 vs the point spread. The Fresno State Bulldogs, meanwhile, are 9-3 and 9-2-1 ATS. Those OVER/UNDER betting have seen Boise State go 5-7 and Fresno State go 3-9 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boise State vs Fresno State injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 19 (Boise State Broncos) and the No. 29 (Fresno State Bulldogs) teams in the league, according to our current NCAA football Power Rankings at OddsShark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Boise State's No. 34-ranked offense, averaging 33.33 PPG, against a Fresno State defense that ranks No. 12 this week at 17.25 PPG. The Boise State aerial game is averaging 254.42 yards per game, more than the Fresno State secondary allows through the air, 198 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Bulldogs feature the league's No. 33-rated road run defense, allowing 144.17 yards per game. Boise State, meanwhile, ranks No. 115 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Marcus McMaryion's 332-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Fresno State earned a 28-17 win over Boise State on Saturday at Bulldog Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Fresno State is 15-3-1 ATS in its last 19 games
  • Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
  • Fresno State is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Boise State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Boise State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • Boise State is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games at home
  • Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home