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Game Preview - Blue Devils underdogs vs Tar Heels at North Carolina

Duke Blue DevilsNorth Carolina Tar Heels
9-2November 30, 2013, 12:00 | Kenan Stadium5-5

North Carolina will look to improve on its 5-5 record this week when they host Duke in Week 14 action at Kenan Stadium on Saturday.

They bring a 5-5 record (6-4 ATS) to the Week 14 battle against the 9-2 Blue Devils, who are 9-2 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen North Carolina go 3-7 so far and the Blue Devils go 5-6.

View Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Odds and Stats.

Bettors going with the Tar Heels in this game found them listed as -5.5-point favorites on the betting line at Sportsbook.ag earlier in the week.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 53-rated Tar Heels and the No. 43-rated Blue Devils in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 37-34 win for the Blue Devils on Saturday.

Last time out for Duke, they were a 28-21 winner as they battled Wake Forest on the road. Duke covered in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 49 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Last time out, Wake Forest could not slow down Jamison Crowder, who managed 121 receiving yards in the Blue Devils 28-21 victory over the Demon Deacons Saturday. Marquise Williams's 409-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as North Carolina earned a 80-20 win over Old Dominion on Saturday at Kenan Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits North Carolina's No. 49-ranked offense, averaging 32.82 PPG, against a Blue Devils defense that ranks No. 36 this week at 22.82 PPG. The Tar Heels aerial game is averaging 292 yards per game, more than the Blue Devils secondary allows through the air, 225.36 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Blue Devils own the league's No. 21-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 121.5 yards per game when on the road. North Carolina, on the other hand, rates No. 84 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Blue Devils at Tar Heels trends to consider:
Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Duke is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
North Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
North Carolina is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home