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Game Preview - Trojans underdogs vs Rebels at Mississippi

Troy TrojansMississippi Rebels
5-5November 16, 2013, 12:00 | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium6-3

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium features a battle between the host Mississippi Rebels and the visiting Troy Trojans in betting action Saturday.

They battle the Trojans, currently with a 5-5 mark (4-6 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 5-4 for the Rebels and 9-1 for the Trojans.

View Troy Trojans vs Mississippi Rebels Odds and Stats.

Mississippi were sitting as -28-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 27-rated Rebels and the No. 84-rated Trojans in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 36-29 win for the Rebels on Saturday.

Troy lost its last outing, a 41-36 result against Louisiana-Lafayette on November 7. Troy covered in that game as a 14-point underdog, while the 77 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, Troy got a 126-yard performance from Brandon Burks, but Louisiana-Lafayette prevailed 41-36. Bo Wallace led the way last time out for the Rebels, connecting for 407 passing yards and a 34-24 victory over the Razorbacks at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Mississippi's No. 45-ranked offense, averaging 32.67 PPG, against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 106 this week at 35.2 PPG. The Rebels aerial game is averaging 288.44 yards per game, less than the Trojans secondary allows through the air, 320.2 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Trojans feature the league's No. 63-rated road run defense, allowing 171.83 yards per game. Mississippi, meanwhile, ranks No. 53 in rushing offense at home.

A few Trojans at Rebels trends to consider:
Troy is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Troy's last 10 games
Troy is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Troy's last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
Mississippi is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Mississippi's last 13 games
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Troy at Texas State, Friday, November 29th
Mississippi at Missouri, Saturday, November 23rd