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Game Preview - Volunteers underdogs vs Gators at Florida

Tennessee VolunteersFlorida Gators
Sep 21, 3:30 PM | Grass of Ben Hill Griffin Stadium


Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators Odds





No. 18 Florida, coming off a loss at Miami in which it outgained the 'Canes by 200 yards but turned the ball over five times, begins SEC play when it hosts 2-1 Tennessee at the Swamp Saturday afternoon (3:30 pm ET, CBS).



In early NCAA football betting, the Gators, who have won eight in a row in this series, were favored by 14 points over the Vols, who just gave up 59 points in losing at Oregon.


View Tennessee vs Florida Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Fans backing the Gators here saw them open at 5Dimes as 15.5-point favorites in this college football clash. (Check back shortly for opening totals at sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark as none was available at the time this preview was written.)

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Gators, currently No. 23 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Volunteers, who rate No. 89 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 35-31 victory for the Volunteers.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida's No. 99-ranked offense, averaging 20 PPG, against a Volunteers defense that ranks No. 73 this week at 26.3 PPG. The Gators aerial game is averaging 222 yards per game, less than the Volunteers secondary allows through the air, 275 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Volunteers own the league's No. 64-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 216 yards per game when on the road. Florida, on the other hand, rates No. 33 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Tennessee lost its last outing, a 59-14 result against Oregon on September 14. Tennessee failed to cover in that game as a 28.5-point underdog, while the 73 combined points took the game OVER the total. Tennessee didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Ducks as Oregon blasted them 59-14 in Week 3 action.

Florida was a 21-16 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Miami. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as favorites, while the total score (37) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Solomon Patton did much of the damage, producing 118 receiving yards but Florida managed to defeat the Gators 21-16 at Sun Life Stadium.

Tennessee Volunteers Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 2-8

Florida Gators Trends:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few Volunteers at Gators trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Florida
Tennessee is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Florida is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

Next up:
Tennessee home to South Alabama, Saturday, September 28
Florida at Kentucky, Saturday, September 28