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Horned Frogs open as underdog vs Broncos

TCU Horned FrogsBoise State Broncos
Nov 12, 3:30 PM | Turf of Bronco Stadium

TCU Horned Frogs vs Boise State Broncos Odds

7-2TEAM RECORD8-0

The Boise State Broncos face the biggest remaining test on their schedule this week when they take on the TCU Horned Frogs at home.

While the Broncos are 8-0 SU and have won all of their games by double digits, they are just 4-4 ATS.

Boise State is 2-1 SU and ATS in their last three games against TCU. Kellen Moore set the all-time FBS record last week with his 46th win, improving his all-time record to a remarkable 46-2.

The Horned Frogs will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 4-5 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Broncos are 4-4 ATS. TCU is 7-2 against the total, while Boise State is 5-3 versus the number.

View TCU vs Boise State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The home team opened as 13-point favorites in this NCAA football battle. No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to posted shortly.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Broncos - Horned Frogs odds would favor the Broncos if the lines were set according to power ranks. Boise State is rated No. 2 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Horned Frogs sit at No. 32. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 58-50 win for the Broncos.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Boise State's No. 7-ranked offense (43.9 PPG) against a Horned Frogs defense that ranks No. 34 at 22.3 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 295.6 yards per game, more than the Horned Frogs give up through the air (225.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Horned Frogs feature the league's No. 45-rated road run defense, allowing 148.8 yards per game. Boise State, meanwhile, ranks No. 80 in rushing offense at home.

TCU was a 31-20 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Wyoming. They failed to cover the 19.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (51) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Boise State was a 48-21 winner in its last match on the road against UNLV. They failed to cover the 43–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 69 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

TCU Horned Frogs Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 10-0

Boise State Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1

A few Horned Frogs at Broncos trends to consider:
TCU is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games on the road
TCU is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of TCU's last 9 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games at home

Next up:
TCU home to Colorado State, Saturday, November 19
Boise State at San Diego State, Saturday, November 19

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