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Horned Frogs vs Mustangs Betting Matchup Report

Southern Methodist MustangsTCU Horned Frogs
Oct 1, 3:30 PM | Grass of Amon Carter Stadium

Southern Methodist Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs Odds


The visiting Mustangs hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Amon Carter Stadium against the Horned Frogs.

This season the Horned Frogs are 3-1 overall and 2-2 ATS against the number, while the Mustangs are 3-1 and 2-2 ATS. As for the totals, TCU is 4-0 on the OU, and Southern Methodist is 1-3.

View Southern Methodist vs TCU Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: TCU opened as 11.5-point favorites. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 71 (Horned Frogs) and the No. 44 (Mustangs) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 49-43 result in favor of the Horned Frogs is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up TCU's No. 12-ranked offense (44 PPG) against a Mustangs defense that ranks No. 25 at 17.5 PPG. The Horned Frogs passing attack has averaged 218.8 yards per game, more than the Mustangs give up through the air (188 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Mustangs feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 99 yards per game. TCU, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Southern Methodist, they were a 42-0 winner as they battled Memphis on the road. Southern Methodist covered in the match as a 24-point favorite, while 42 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

In their last action, TCU was a 55-13 winner at home against Portland State. They covered the 41.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (68) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Southern Methodist Mustangs Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 3-7

TCU Horned Frogs Trends:
When playing in October are 10-0
When playing on grass are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few Mustangs at Horned Frogs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Methodist
TCU is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
TCU is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Southern Methodist

Next up:
Southern Methodist home to Central Florida, Saturday, October 15
TCU at San Diego State, Saturday, October 8