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Iowa State Faltering Against the Spread

Iowa State has been a poor wager in recent matchups with the Cyclones posting a less-than-stellar 2-9 ATS record in their past 11 games. This season alone Iowa State is 2-4 ATS, but 0-2 on the road. The Cyclones will pack their bags and visit the dominant Baylor Bears Saturday.

Shark Bites
  • There has only been two totals higher than Baylor/Iowa State's 81.5 with both of those previous going OVER.
  • Iowa State is 0-5 SU in their past five road games.
  • Baylor averages 13.7 more points per game than any other team in the nation.

Iowa State was in over their heads against TCU last week and got steamrolled. The Cyclones have now lost their past two games and have allowed a combined 111 points in those games.

Baylor’s offense continues to put up ridiculous numbers after scoring 62 points last week, which has brought their season average to 63.8 points per game. In the win, Seth Russell became just the second quarterback in team history to throw for 300 yards and rush for 100 in a single game. Receiver Corey Coleman also added three touchdowns to his numbers, which gives him a nation leading 16 receiving touchdowns this year.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Several shops tracked by Odds Shark (including Bovada) set the point spread at -37 for the Baylor Bears . NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 59-24 result in favor of the Bears. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Baylor Bears sit at 6-0 (4-2 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Iowa State Cyclones are currently 2-4 (2-4 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Baylor is 5-1 OU, and Iowa State is 1-5 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baylor vs Iowa State injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Baylor Bears rated this week at No. 1 and the Iowa State Cyclones sitting at No. 117.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Baylor's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 63.83 PPG, against a Iowa State defense that ranks No. 96 this week at 32 PPG. The Baylor aerial game is averaging 371 yards per game, more than the Iowa State Cyclones secondary allows through the air, 289.67 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Iowa State Cyclones own the league's No. 95-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 216 yards per game when on the road. Baylor, on the other hand, rates No. 3 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Iowa State lost its last outing 45-21 against TCU on Saturday, getting a 147-yard receiving performance from Allen Lazard in a losing cause at Jack Trice Stadium.


Baylor cruised to victory in its last outing, as they ran up a 62-38 score against West Virginia at McLane Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Iowa State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Iowa State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Iowa State's last 10 games
  • Iowa State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 7 games
  • Baylor is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Iowa State home to Texas, Saturday, October 31st
Baylor at Kansas State, Thursday, November 5th