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Jonny Knows Picks: College Edition Week 13

Back on track in college.

Had a solid week at 5-3 with my college picks last week and I'm now 50-41 on the season. Let's keep it going into this week, starting with a big Thanksgiving Day game. 

LSU at Texas A&M +7, 48.5 

  • Almost 90 percent of the bets on LSU
  • Line opened at LSU -4 with O/U of 43 so huge line moves 
  • Kendell Beckwith LB out (second in SEC in tackles), Fournette game-time decision
  • Aggies have lost last 5 games to LSU 
  • A&M QB Jake Hubenak has a banged-up shoulder. Took over for Trevor Knight and is game-to-game

Pick: LSU, UNDER   

Arkansas at Missouri +8, 75

  • Almost 90 percent of the money is on Arkansas here 
  • Ark allows 216 rushing yards per game on 6.3 yards per carry this season
  • Razorbacks allowing 45.2 points on the road and 582 yards per game and allowing 327 rushing yards per game

Pick: Missouri 

Washington at Washington State +6, 64 

  • Around 70 percent of the money is on Washington here 
  • Washington has failed to cover in four of the last five
  • Think Leach will have a game plan that keeps this rivalry game very close. Pac-12 North title is on the line
  • Cougars are first in the Pac-12 against the run on defense

Pick: Washington State 

Michigan at Ohio State +6.5, 46.5 

  • Michigan is 1-11 last 12 games vs Ohio State and 2-7 ATS last 9 meetings
  • Michigan hasn't covered in 4 of its last 5 games 
  • If John O'Korn starts for Michigan, I feel they're in trouble. 

Pick: UNDER 

Auburn at Alabama -17, 47

  • 60 percent of the money is on Auburn 
  • Both teams 8-3 ATS this season 
  • Bama is 4-1 SU, ATS last five meetings
  • Sportsbooks hate the fact Bama is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 home games
  • Think this is too many points against a defense that allows 14.3 ppg

Pick: Auburn, UNDER  

Florida at Florida State -7.5, 46 

  • Visiting team has covered the spread the last 5 meetings
  • Over 71 percent of the money coming in on Florida State 
  • Florida upset LSU on the road last week with 6 starters out  
  • Florida State seniors trying to go 8-0 in careers vs. Miami and Florida 
  • I think this Florida offense is a little more comfortable with Austin Appleby at QB 
  • Gators No. 5 total defense in the country

Pick: Florida +7.5 

Utah at Colorado -10.5, 53.5 

  • Two very similar-style teams 
  • Colorado has covered the last 5 meetings despite losing four of those straight up
  • Utah’s devastating loss to Oregon last week is probably worth a full field goal to the spread. Major letdown spot here – which I think may be a little too much. I think Oregon is an improving team. 

Pick: Utah  

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