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Jonny Knows Picks: College Edition Week 11

It was another not-so-hot week in college. 

I went 3-8 and I'm now 42-34 on the season. Like a struggling quarterback, I'm trying to have a short memory. So on to this week... 

UNC at Duke +11.5, 63 (Friday)

  • Duke has lost 3 games by combined 16 points and has covered the spread in 4 straight 
  • Bunch of injuries on both sides of the ball for Duke. 
  • UNC thumped Duke the last two meetings and I think this one is closer 

Pick: Duke +11.5 

Mississippi State at Alabama -29.5, 55.5

  • Alabama has covered 4 in a row and is 7-2 against the spread this season 
  • Miss State has lost 8 straight in this matchup but has covered 3 of the last 5 meetings, all as big underdogs 
  • The UNDER has hit in 9 straight meetings 
  • Think Bama may be a bit banged up after a really tough stretch of schedule – Ark, Tenn, A&M, LSU 
  • Miss State has a balanced offense and can get points, led by QB Nick Fitzgerald 

Pick: Miss State +29.5

Auburn at Georgia +10, 48

  • Hard to believe but Auburn is now tied as the best bet in the nation at 8-1 against the spread this year
  • Georgia beats the weak teams in the SEC and loses to the good teams 
  • Auburn has the No. 3 rushing offense in the nation and Georgia has the 20th-best run defense 
  • You’ve gotta be able to score against Auburn right now and Georgia just isn’t putting points on the board with 23.7 per game. 
  • Georgia won the last two meetings so I think Auburn will be hungry to get a win here. 

Pick: Auburn -10 

USC at Washington -8.5, 62

  • USC has won five straight and looks like a different team with Sam Darnold as QB 
  • What has gone a little more unnoticed is that this defense has really come together and allowed fewer than 20 ppg during that time
  • I think this one is going to go well UNDER the total. 

Pick: Washington 

South Carolina at Florida -11.5, 37.5 

  • Lowest total of the season in college football 
  • Two tough defenses, two teams that don’t pile up points.  
  • I have this one on upset watch. Pressure’s on Florida now to hold the East and this division becomes anyone’s ball game if So. Carolina wins.  

Pick: UNDER, South Carolina 

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State -12, 90

  • 10 games in our database of 84.5, the total went OVER at 7-3 clip 
  • 123 points were scored in this one last year, last four meetings OVER 
  • 3-4 O/U in totals over 80 this year for TT 
  • Teams combine for 87 points and 1100 yards

Pick: OVER  

Ohio State at Maryland -28, 57.5

  • Meyer 16-1 SU in November at Ohio State and 48-6 in November in his career. Don’t bet against this guy in November. 
  • Talked about how much I loved Buckeyes last week and took Nebraska UNDER 18 points. I expect this defense to be suffocating from here on out. 

Pick: Ohio State -28 

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