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Horned Frogs Aim to End Home Slide in Season Finale Against Wildcats

Kyle Hicks

The TCU Horned Frogs will be gunning for their first straight-up win at home in their past four when they wrap up the Big 12 regular season schedule with a clash against the Kansas State Wildcats at Amon Carter Stadium. The Wildcats are on a 4-1 SU run but are a dismal 4-7 against the spread this season.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in Kansas State's last three games against TCU.
  • TCU is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games against its conference.
  • Kansas State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

The 6-5 Horned Frogs impressed in a 31-9 win over Texas as 3-point underdogs last weekend. TCU has won two of three SU and ATS, both as betting underdogs. But the Horned Frogs have failed to record consecutive SU wins over their past seven contests, are winless SU in three home dates against conference rivals, and just 1-5 ATS in six.

The Wildcats climbed to fourth in the conference standings with last week's 34-19 win over rival Kansas as 23.5-point home favorites. Kansas has tallied an average of 33.6 points per game over its past five, forcing the point total OVER in each of the past four. But the Wildcats are a middling 2-3 ATS on the road this season.

TCU outlasted the Wildcats for a 52-45 road victory a year ago, evening their all-time record against Kansas State at 2-2 SU, but failed to cover as 9-point road chalk.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The TCU Horned Frogs were listed as -4.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as Bovada on the college football lines menu.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and analytics picked a 34-32 win for the Wildcats. That value could change during the week, if injuries or other factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The TCU Horned Frogs currently sport a record of 6-5, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-8 ATS. The Kansas State Wildcats are 7-4 and 4-7 ATS. Betting totals have seen the TCU Horned Frogs post a 4-7 over under record this season, while the Kansas State Wildcats have gone 6-5 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and TCU vs Kansas State injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 40-rated TCU Horned Frogs and the No. 49-rated Kansas State Wildcats in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits TCU's No. 40-ranked offense, averaging 34 PPG, against a Kansas State defense that ranks No. 24 this week at 22 PPG. The TCU aerial game is averaging 291.09 yards per game, more than the Kansas State Wildcats secondary allows through the air, 271.09 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Kansas State Wildcats own the league's No. 21-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 126.2 yards per game when on the road. TCU, on the other hand, rates No. 84 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Alex Barnes ran through the Kansas defense for 103 yards in Kansas State's last game, handing the Jayhawks a 34-19 setback on Saturday at Snyder Family Stadium.

Texas was unable to contain Darius Anderson in its last action Friday and the result was a 31-9 Week 13 loss against the Horned Frogs.

Betting Trends
  • Kansas State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
  • Kansas State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Texas Christian is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Texas Christian is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games
  • Texas Christian is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home