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Alabama heavily favored to pick up 17th straight win

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played in Week 5. The Crimson Tide are likely to pick up an eighth straight Week 5 win Saturday night hosting the Kentucky Wildcats.

  • Alabama is 16-0 SU in its last 16 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in three of Kentucky's last four games against Alabama.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of Kentucky's last six games.

Saturday's game will be Alabama's first home game against an SEC opponent this season. Alabama has dominated conference play at home in recent years with a 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS  record over its last 13 SEC home games.

Kentucky is 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS in its last five games against Alabama and 0-14 SU in its last 14 road games coming off of consecutive home games. Through the first four weeks of the 2016 season, the Wildcats rank 109th in scoring defense, allowing 35.3 points per game.

The Wildcats are 0-26 SU and 10-14-2 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of three touchdowns or more. In seven such instances since 2011, Kentucky is 4-3 ATS. Kentucky lost and failed to cover as a 26.5-point home underdog against Alabama in 2013 by a final score of 48-7.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the $Kentucky Wildcats listed as 32.5-point underdogs earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under betting line was unavailable earlier in the week, but posted shortly at MyBookie.

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 47-0 result in favor of the Crimson Tide. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Alabama Crimson Tide currently sport a record of 4-0, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-1 ATS. The Kentucky Wildcats are 2-2 and 1-3 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Alabama Crimson Tide post a 2-2 over under record this season, while the Kentucky Wildcats have gone 3-1 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Alabama vs Kentucky injuries news.

The Alabama Crimson Tide sit at No. 2 in the current College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Kentucky Wildcats are at No. 92 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Alabama Crimson Tide No. 8-ranked offense (46.5 PPG) against a Kentucky Wildcats defense that ranks No. 109 at 35.25 PPG. The Alabama Crimson Tide passing attack has averaged 237.25 yards per game, less than the Kentucky Wildcats give up through the air (258 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Kentucky Wildcats own the league's No. 95-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 244 yards per game when on the road. Alabama, on the other hand, rates No. 50 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Stanley Boom Williams went over the 100-yard mark (123) in his team's latest effort as Kentucky defeated South Carolina by a score of 17-10 on Saturday.

In their most recent game, Alabama dominated with defense, rolling to a 48-0 shutout win over Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Kentucky is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Kentucky is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
  • Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Alabama is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Kentucky home to Vanderbilt, Saturday, October 8th
Alabama at Arkansas, Saturday, October 8th