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Lobos battle Wolf Pack in Week 12 odds

Nevada Wolf PackNew Mexico Lobos
Nov 17, 3:30 PM | Grass of University Stadium

Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos Odds


University Stadium features a battle between the host New Mexico Lobos and the visiting Nevada Wolf Pack in betting action Saturday.

The Lobos sit at 4-7 (5-5 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Wolf Pack are currently 6-4 (2-7-1 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? New Mexico is 3-6-1 OU, and Nevada is 6-3 OU.

View Nevada vs New Mexico Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Wolf Pack were listed as 11.5-point favorites on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.

Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 79-rated Lobos and the No. 94-ranked Wolf Pack, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 38-28 result in favor of the Wolf Pack.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Mexico's No. 75-ranked offense (26.5 PPG) against a Wolf Pack defense that ranks No. 103 at 33.9 PPG. The Lobos passing attack has averaged 62.7 yards per game, less than the Wolf Pack give up through the air (239.7 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Wolf Pack feature the league's No. 82-rated road run defense, allowing 195.8 yards per game. New Mexico, meanwhile, ranks No. 3 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Nevada was a 52-36 loser at home against Fresno State. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (88) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Wolf Pack suffered a Week 11 loss against Fresno State in their last game, falling 52-36 at Mackay Stadium.

Last time out for New Mexico, they were a 28-23 loser as they battled Wyoming at home. New Mexico failed to cover in the match as a 3-point underdog, while 51 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Cole Gautsche went over the 100-yard mark (149) in his team's latest effort, but Wyoming still defeated New Mexico by a score of 28-23.

Nevada Wolf Pack Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5

New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few Wolf Pack at Lobos trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Mexico is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games at home
New Mexico is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Next up:
Nevada home to Boise State, Saturday, November 24
New Mexico at Colorado State, Saturday, November 24