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Texas Favored in Big 12 Clash

As has been a Thanksgiving Day tradition for each of the last three seasons, the Texas Longhorns and the Texas A&M Aggies will take the field Thursday night, this season at College Station.

The Aggies have held the edge in this in-state rivalry over recent years with a 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS record in the last six meetings between these two teams.

Ryan Tennehill threw for 280 yards and three touchdowns as Texas A&M earned bowl eligibility with a blowout win over Kansas last week.

The Longhorns will try to spoil to the party on Thursday; they are 5-5 ATS against the number this season, while the Aggies are 3-8 ATS. Texas is 5-5 on the totals; Texas A&M is 7-4.

View Texas vs Texas AM Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks had the Aggies pegged as 7.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, settled in 54 with the best OVER number being at Bovada as of late Tuesday.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Aggies - Longhorns odds would favor the Longhorns if the lines were set according to power ranks. Texas A&M is rated No. 25 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Longhorns sit at No. 10. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 42-39 win for the Aggies.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas A&M's No. 10-ranked offense (40.9 PPG) against a Longhorns defense that ranks No. 26 at 20.6 PPG. The Aggies passing attack has averaged 293.7 yards per game, more than the Longhorns give up through the air (199.6 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Longhorns feature the league's No. 36-rated road run defense, allowing 140.7 yards per game. Texas A&M, meanwhile, ranks No. 40 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Texas, they were a 17-13 loser as they battled Kansas State at home. Texas failed to cover in the match as a 7-point favorite, while 30 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Last time out for Texas A&M, they were a 61-7 winner as they battled Kansas at home. Texas A&M covered in the match as a 32.5-point favorite, while 68 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 3-7

Texas A&M Aggies Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Longhorns at Aggies trends to consider:
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas A&M
Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Texas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas A&M
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 8 games
Texas A&M is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 6 games at home

Next up:
Texas at Baylor, Saturday, December 3