An old Southwest Conference rivalry is renewed when 8-2 Texas hosts 6-4 TCU Thanksgiving night in Austin (7:30 pm ET, ESPN).
The Longhorns, who have won their last four games, were early eight-point favorites over the Frogs, who have lost four of their last six. These teams have met just twice since 1995 with the Longhorns winning both times.
TCU's road run defense ranks No. 7 in the country, making them a tough out.
View TCU vs Texas Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Horned Frogs in this one found them as 8.5-point underdogs on the Sportsbook college football point spread at Sportsbook. The over under number in this game was sitting around 58.5 as of Tuesday at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 44-rated Longhorns and the No. 8-rated Horned Frogs in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 42-39 win for the Longhorns on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas's No. 13-ranked offense (39.6 PPG) against a Horned Frogs defense that ranks No. 41 at 24 PPG. The Longhorns passing attack has averaged 265.2 yards per game, more than the Horned Frogs give up through the air (227.9 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Horned Frogs feature the league's No. 7-rated road run defense, allowing 87.6 yards per game. Texas, meanwhile, ranks No. 32 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for TCU, they were a 23-10 loser as they battled Kansas State at home. TCU failed to cover in the match as a 7-point underdog, while 33 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Horned Frogs suffered a Week 11 loss against Kansas State in their last game, falling 23-10 at Amon Carter Stadium.
Texas won its last outing, a 33-7 result against Iowa State on November 10. Texas covered in that game as a 10.5-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total. David Ash's 364-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Texas earned a 33-7 win over Iowa State on Saturday at Memorial Stadium.
TCU Horned Frogs Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few Horned Frogs at Longhorns trends to consider:
TCU is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games on the road
TCU is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
TCU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games at home
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Next up:
TCU home to Oklahoma, Saturday, December 1
Texas at Kansas State, Saturday, December 1
