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Cardinals Search for End to ATS Slide in Visit to NC State


The Louisville Cardinals will try to end a nine-game slide at the sportsbooks when they take on conference rival North Carolina State on Thursday night in an ACC Week 6 matchup at Carter-Finley Stadium. The Cardinals are 0-8-1 ATS over their past nine but face a Wolfpack squad that has failed to cover in its past five home dates.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of North Carolina State’s last eight games on Thursday.
  • North Carolina State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home against teams with winning records.
  • Louisville is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road against teams with winning records.

After being pegged as home favorites by more than 40 points in consecutive home dates, the Cardinals hit the road as underdogs for the first time in two years. Louisville has struggled to reward loyal sports bettors since covering in four straight outings to open the 2016 season, going 2-11-1 ATS in 14 games since, but is an impressive 8-4 SU in its past 12 as a road underdog, and 14-2 ATS over its past 16.

The Wolfpack face a conference rival for a third straight week after posting outright wins over Florida State and Syracuse to improve to 4-1 SU on the season. But NC State has covered just once during that stretch, a 27-21 upset win over the Seminoles as an 11.5-point road underdog two weeks ago.

The Cardinals have won all three meetings with NC State since their move to the ACC, and are a solid 2-1 SU and ATS over their past three visits to Raleigh, including a 20-13 win as 3-point underdogs in Week 5 of 2015.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Several shops tracked by OddsShark (including Bovada) set the point spread at 3.5 for the NC State Wolfpack. NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening OVER/UNDER value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

OddsShark prediction models picked the Cardinals to win this game on Thursday 36-32. Check the picks page or matchup report during the week as factors may cause that prediction to be re-run. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The NC State Wolfpack sit at 4-1 (1-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Louisville Cardinals are currently 4-1 (0-4-1 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? NC State is 3-2 OU, and Louisville is 3-2 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and NC State vs Louisville injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 34-rated NC State Wolfpack and the No. 22-rated Louisville Cardinals in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the NC State Wolfpack's No. 43-ranked offense (34.8 PPG) against a Louisville Cardinals defense that ranks No. 57 at 24.6 PPG. The Wolfpack passing attack has averaged 293 yards per game, more than the Cardinals give up through the air (213 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Cardinals own the league's No. 5-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 34 yards per game when on the road. NC State, on the other hand, rates No. 67 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

In their last game, NC State got a 115-yard performance from Nyheim Hines as a key part of its 33-25 win over Syracuse.

Betting Trends
  • Louisville is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Louisville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • North Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • North Carolina State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • North Carolina State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisville

Next Betting Matchups

Louisville home to Boston College, Saturday, October 14
NC State at Pittsburgh, Saturday, October 14