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Cavaliers Hope to End Home Slide vs Surging Louisville

Kurt Benkert Virginia

The Virginia Cavaliers will try to avoid a third consecutive straight-up and against the spread loss on home turf this weekend, when they host the high-powered Louisville Cardinals in a Week 9 matchup between ACC rivals at Scott Stadium.

Shark Bites
  • Virginia is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games after a loss.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of Louisville's last seven games.
  • Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games on the road after consecutive home games.

The Cavaliers have posted a pair of losses by double-digit margins in their past two home dates, dropping the club to 1-4 SU in its past five in Charlottesville. The squad also failed to cover as home underdogs in those outings, but has otherwise performed well at the sportsbooks, going 10-1 ATS in the previous 11 overall.

The Cardinals roll into Virginia on a high following a 54-13 rout of North Carolina State last weekend, covering as big 19-point chalk in their fifth 50+ point performance this season. Louisville has been outstanding when pegged as a favorite by 27 or more points, winning 11 straight SU, and covering in four of five.

These teams have met twice since Louisville joined the ACC in 2014. The Cardinals recorded a 38-31 win last season, failing to cover as 13.5-point chalk, and Virginia pulled off a 23-21 upset as 4-point underdogs two years ago to remain undefeated in two all-time home matchups against the Cardinals.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the betting opening line for this matchup, the Virginia Cavaliers sat as 27-point underdog, according to 5Dimes. The total had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 52-18 result in favor of the Cardinals. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Cavaliers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Virginia Cavaliers sport a record of 2-5 and 4-3 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Louisville Cardinals sit at 6-1 and 5-2 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 2-4-1 for the Cavaliers and 6-1 for the Cardinals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Virginia vs Louisville injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 72 (Virginia Cavaliers) and the No. 5 (Louisville Cardinals) teams in the league, according to our current NCAA football Power Rankings at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Virginia Cavaliers No. 84-ranked offense (26.29 PPG) against a Louisville Cardinals defense that ranks No. 37 at 22.71 PPG. The Virginia Cavaliers passing attack has averaged 268.29 yards per game, more than the Louisville Cardinals give up through the air (185.14 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Louisville Cardinals feature the league's No. 48-rated road run defense, allowing 160.67 yards per game. Virginia, meanwhile, ranks No. 124 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, Louisville's aerial attack generated 355 yards and the Cardinals came away with a 54-13 victory over NC State at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium.

Taquan Mizzell ran through the North Carolina defense for 106 yards in Virginia's last game, but the Cavaliers still lost a 35-14 decision at Scott Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Louisville is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Louisville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisville's last 7 games
  • Louisville is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
  • Virginia is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
  • Virginia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games
  • Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Louisville at Boston College, Saturday, November 5th
Virginia at Wake Forest, Saturday, November 5th