After Lamar Jackson’s Heisman-winning campaign last season, hopes were high for the Louisville Cardinals entering this year. However, there has been something rotten in the state of Kentucky.
Louisville is walking through the lower levels of competition but the Cardinals have found themselves struggling when facing an actual challenge. Though a 4-3 SU record is at least respectable, the 0-6-1 ATS mark has been anything but.
Through their first seven games of the season, Louisville has faced an average closing spread of -20.9 with an average scoring margin of just +8.6 points per game. It does not take a mathematician to figure out that those two numbers are way off.
Though Jackson is still a wizard, the rest of Louisville is an absolute mess. The running game basically does not exist outside of Jackson running for his life thanks to a combination of play-calling and a dreadful offensive line. The secondary is one of the worst in the nation and despite opposing offenses throwing the ball a lot to exploit that weakness, the team is struggling to get pressure on the quarterback.
Long and short – Louisville has one good player. And even if that one good player is on the Heisman level, he is unable to do everything himself.
Given the issues, you should not expect Louisville to magically become a great bet moving forward. They are typically going to get spotted points thanks to Jackson’s notoriety and their performance last season but the Cardinals do not seem able to blow the doors off competition the way books expect.
Next up for Louisville is a date hosting the Florida State Seminoles, who are 2-3 SU and 0-4-1 ATS this season. The Cardinals opened as a 7-point underdog for this contest in Tallahassee. So it feels like if Louisville is going to finally break its ATS skid, this is the week.