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LSU Has a Massive Aerial Edge vs Ole Miss

The LSU Tigers have the inside track on a spot in the College Football Playoff – but they can’t afford to get caught looking ahead to December as they visit the Ole Miss Rebels on Saturday. LSU outgunned host Alabama 46-41 to all but assure itself a spot in the four-team playoff, while Ole Miss routed New Mexico State 41-3 to end a three-game losing skid.

Matchup Information
  • LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels (Matchup Report)
  • Date/Time: November 16, 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Coverage: ESPN
  • Opening Odds: LSU -21 | O/U 63.0 (Line History)

Opening Odds Analysis

LSU opened as a whopping three-touchdown favorite vs the rival Rebels; that marks the widest spread between the teams since 2011.

LSU News & Notes

That thrilling win in Tuscaloosa not only galvanized LSU’s spot in the CFP (while putting the Crimson Tide in danger of missing out), it also minted Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow as the overwhelming favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Burrow, who went 31-for-39 for 393 yards and three touchdowns vs Alabama, is installed at -500 to win LSU’s first Heisman since 1959.

But it was just a few weeks ago that the Tigers found themselves in the fight of their lives against Auburn before finally pulling out a 23-20 home victory. And they’ve struggled to keep opposing teams off the scoreboard away from Tiger Stadium in 2019, with the win over the Tide marking the third time in four true road games that LSU has surrendered 38-plus points.

Ole Miss News & Notes

The Rebels have been surprisingly competitive since the end of September, though it hasn’t shown up in the win column. Ole Miss enters Saturday’s action having covered in five of its previous six games despite going just 2-4 over that span; narrow losses to Texas A&M and Auburn dropped Ole Miss’ record to 0-4 in games decided by eight or fewer points this season.

The Rebels’ biggest problem this weekend will be an inability to keep up with an LSU passing game that has carved opposing teams to ribbons. Ole Miss ranks outside the top 100 in both passing offense (187.1 yards per game) and passing defense (274.2 yards per game against), with QBs John Rhys Plumlee and Matt Corral having combined to throw just eight TD passes.

Betting Pick: LSU -21

Ole Miss has been a strong cover play in recent weeks, but the Tigers should be able to contain the Rebels’ moribund passing game while Burrow dissects the secondary en route to another dominant LSU victory.

Shark Bites
  • LSU is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games.
  • Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of LSU’s last 12 games.