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High-Scoring Affair Expected When Ole Miss Hosts LSU

Ole Miss (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) has been an offensive juggernaut at home, averaging nearly 56 points per game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The Rebels could hang another huge number against LSU (4-3, 3-4), which has allowed 42 points in each of its last two games.

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels
  • Date/Time: October 23, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
  • TV Coverage: CBS
  • Opening Odds: Ole Miss -10.5 | O/U 75.5 (Line History)
  • LSU vs Ole Miss Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

If you’re surprised to see the Rebels as a double-digit favorite over LSU, it’s probably because they haven’t been in a long time. In fact, Ole Miss hasn’t been favored by more than a touchdown against the Tigers in the history of the Odds Shark college football database, which goes back more than three decades.

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LSU News & Notes

Apparently not even an upset win over Florida could save the job of embattled head coach Ed Orgeron. LSU announced Sunday that Orgeron won’t be returning to coach the Tigers next season, just a couple of years after he led LSU to the national title.

The Tigers continue to play hard for their coach, however, especially when stepping up in class against elite opponents. Last week’s win improved LSU to 18-7-2 ATS in its last 27 outings against teams with winning SU records, and an improved running game was the big key to the win over the Gators. LSU entered the game ranked 127th in the nation in rushing but shredded Florida on the ground, highlighted by a program-record 287 rushing yards and three touchdowns from Tyrion Davis-Price.

The run game eased pressure on quarterback Max Johnson, who threw for just 133 yards but had three touchdown passes to Jaray Jenkins. The Tigers defense also came to play last week, picking off four passes — including one that was returned for a touchdown and another that was taken back deep into Florida territory.

Ole Miss News & Notes

The Rebels are coming off an emotional victory last week, beating Tennessee 31-26 in head coach Lane Kiffin’s return to Knoxville for the first time since leaving the Volunteers in 2010. The contest ended with fans pelting the field with debris, and the win was Ole Miss’s first at Tennessee in nearly four decades.

The Rebels were without two of their top receivers, Jonathan Mingo and Braylon Sanders, which forced Heisman Trophy candidate favorite Matt Corral to do more with his legs. Corral ran for 195 yards and added 231 more through the air, a dual threat he may have to provide again this week if Mingo and Sanders are still sidelined.

Ole Miss’s defense was a lot sharper last week after getting ripped for 676 yards against Arkansas in its previous outing, forcing the Volunteers to punt on five of their first seven possessions. It’ll be interesting to see if that improvement continues when the Rebels return home, where they’ve gone OVER the total in seven of their last nine games.

How LSU Will Cover

The Tigers tend to bring their best when the odds are stacked against them, evident in last week’s win over Florida as double-digit home underdogs. LSU will have to run the ball effectively once again to keep it out of the hands of Corral and his explosive offense.

How Ole Miss Will Cover

Ole Miss has scored at least 52 points in all three of its home games this season, so it seems safe to think offense won’t be the Rebels’ issue in this one. A few defensive stops should be all Mississippi needs to win this one by double digits and cover the spread.

Computer Pick: Ole Miss -10.5

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Shark Bites
  • LSU is 18-7-2 ATS in its last 27 vs teams over .500.
  • The OVER is 7-2 in Ole Miss’s last 9 home games.
  • LSU is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games vs Ole Miss.