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Auburn hopes home cooking will help lead to an upset over LSU

Auburn Football

The home team is 14-2 SU in the last 16 games between the Auburn Tigers and the LSU Tigers. Auburn hopes to keep that trend going this Saturday at home against LSU.

  • Auburn is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games after losing as a favorite.
  • LSU is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games in Week 4.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of LSU's last seven games.

Auburn is 19-7 SU in its last 26 home games overall, but the team's current home stretch of 6-7 SU and 2-10-1 ATS is much less impressive. In the team's last four games as a home underdog, the Tigers are 0-4 SU and 1-2-1 ATS.

After sitting out of LSU's 34-13 win over Jacksonville State, Leonard Fournette returned to help lead the team to a 23-20 win against Mississippi State last week with 147 yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries. Fournette was slightly less effective on the road than he was at home last season, averaging 5.9 yards per carry away from Death Valley compared to 6.9 yards per carry at home.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Auburn Tigers were sitting as 4-point underdogs earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 31-28 victory for the Tigers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Auburn bring a 1-2 record (2-1 ATS) to the Week 4 betting matchup against the 2-1 LSU Tigers, who are 0-3 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Auburn go 1-2 so far and the Tigers go 0-3. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Auburn vs LSU injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Auburn Tigers rated this week at No. 48 and the LSU Tigers sitting at No. 43.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Auburn Tigers No. 87-ranked offense (26.67 PPG) against a LSU Tigers defense that ranks No. 22 at 16.33 PPG. The Auburn Tigers passing attack has averaged 194 yards per game, less than the LSU Tigers give up through the air (222.33 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the LSU Tigers own the league's No. 37-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 134 yards per game when on the road. Auburn, on the other hand, rates No. 27 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Mississippi State was unable to contain Leonard Fournette in its last action Saturday and the result was a 23-20 Week 3 loss against the Tigers.

Kamryn Pettway ran through the Texas A&M defense for 123 yards in Auburn's last game, but the Tigers still lost a 29-16 decision at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Louisiana State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Louisiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 7 games
  • Louisiana State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Auburn is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games
  • Auburn is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
  • Auburn is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

LSU home to Missouri, Saturday, October 1st
Auburn home to Louisiana-Monroe, Saturday, October 1st