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Florida Looking For Rare Back-To-Back Victories Over LSU

Despite missing several starters from their lineup, Florida squeaked out a narrow 16-10 victory over LSU last season. Now the Gators will be looking to pick up consecutive victories against the Tigers for the first time since 2009 – when the Florida team featured Tim Tebow and Chris Rainey.

Shark Bites
  • Florida is 1-3 SU and ATS in its last 4 games against LSU.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LSU’s last 12 games against the SEC.
  • Despite losing last season, LSU outgained Florida on offense 423 to 270.

Florida’s run-heavy offense has been running on all cylinders since struggling in Week 1 against a stout Michigan defense. The Gators have accounted for 572 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground over the past three games. That being said, coach Jim McElwain needs to figure out the revolving door at quarterback. Luke Del Rio got his first start of the season last week but broke his collarbone and is now done for the year. The QB position now likely falls to Feleipe Franks but Malik Zaire is there as well.

LSU hit rock bottom last week. During their own homecoming week, they welcomed in Troy and then were promptly dominated for the bulk of the game by the Sun Belt opponent. The offense is a mess, especially without Derrius Guice, who dressed last week but wasn’t healthy enough to see the field. The defense is good – though not LSU good – but is struggling to generate turnovers. 

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting LSU Tigers in this one found them as 4-point underdogs on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. Bookmark the college football odds pages to see where the OVER/UNDER number opens in this game.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and analytics picked a 33-19 win for the Tigers. That value could change during the week, if injuries or other factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The LSU Tigers will try to spoil the party on Saturday; they are 1-4 against the spread this season, while the Florida Gators are 1-3 ATS. LSU is 2-3 on the OVER/UNDER betting totals; Florida is 3-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Florida vs LSU injuries news.

The game pits the Florida Gators, currently No. 68 in our OddsShark NCAA Football Power Rankings, against the LSU Tigers, who rate No. 27 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Florida's No. 80-ranked offense, averaging 27.25 PPG, against a LSU defense that ranks No. 31 this week at 19.4 PPG. The Florida aerial game is averaging 212.75 yards per game, more than the LSU Tigers secondary allows through the air, 184.2 YPG per game.

Defensively, the LSU Tigers feature the league's No. 115-rated road run defense, allowing 285 yards per game. Florida, meanwhile, ranks No. 93 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

D.J. Chark was good for 105 receiving yards in the Tigers' most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn't help his team to victory and they fell 24-21 to Troy.

In their last game, Florida got a 124-yard performance from Malik Davis as a key part of its 38-24 win over Vanderbilt.

Betting Trends
  • Louisiana State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Louisiana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 6 games on the road
  • Louisiana State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida
  • Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games
  • Florida is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

LSU home to Auburn, Saturday, October 14
Florida home to Texas A&M, Saturday, October 14