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Stingy Badgers Aim to Extend Maryland’s Offensive Woes


The Wisconsin Badgers vie for an eighth straight victory on Saturday when they take on the Maryland Terrapins in a Week 8 Big Ten conference matchup at Camp Randall Stadium. The Badgers leapt to No. 5 on the AP Top 25 with a narrow 17-9 win over Purdue as 17-point home favorites while the Terrapins fell to 3-3 on the season with a 37-21 loss at Northwestern as 2.5-point underdogs.

Shark Bites
  • Wisconsin is 7-0 SU in its last seven games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of Wisconsin’s last seven games against its conference.
  • Maryland is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games after consecutive losses.

The Badgers defense ranks fifth in the nation after last week’s win over the Boilermakers. Wisconsin has surrendered just 13.3 points per game this season, and has held visiting clubs to 10 or fewer points in four of its past six regular-season home dates. However, that has not prevented the point total from going OVER in eight of their past 11 overall.

Conversely, the Terrapins offense has sputtered since racking up 57 ppg over its first two outings of the season. Maryland has averaged just 19 ppg during its current 1-3 SU and ATS run. But after giving up 99 total points in its past two outings, the Terrapins have seen the OVER prevail in three straight outings.

This marks just the third all-time meeting between these two teams. Wisconsin failed to cover as 9.5-point chalk in a 31-24 win at Maryland in 2015, but dominated in a 52-7 victory as 9.5-point home favorites in a 2014 meeting at Camp Randall.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The home Wisconsin Badgers were 24-point favorites in this NCAA football battle at Bovada earlier (watch for line movement). No OVER/UNDER line was available early in the week, but was set to be posted shortly.

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 45-13 result in favor of the Badgers. Check the picks page or matchup report during the week as factors may cause that prediction to be re-run. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Maryland Terrapins vs Wisconsin Badgers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Wisconsin Badgers sport a record of 6-0 and 3-3 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Maryland Terrapins sit at 3-3 and 3-3 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER totals records are 4-2 for the Badgers and 5-1 for the Terrapins. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Wisconsin vs Maryland injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 9-rated Wisconsin Badgers and the No. 137-rated Maryland Terrapins in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Wisconsin Badgers' No. 26-ranked offense (36.33 PPG) against a Maryland Terrapins defense that ranks No. 115 at 36.5 PPG. The Wisconsin passing attack has averaged 202.67 yards per game, less than the Terrapins give up through the air (264.67 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Terrapins own the league's No. 59-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 153 yards per game when on the road. Wisconsin, on the other hand, rates No. 22 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

D.J. Moore was good for 210 receiving yards in the Terrapins' most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn't help his team to victory and they fell 37-21.

Jonathan Taylor ran through the Purdue defense for 219 yards in Wisconsin's last game, handing the Boilermakers a 17-9 setback on Saturday at Camp Randall Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Maryland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Maryland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
  • Maryland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Maryland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Wisconsin is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Wisconsin's last 11 games
  • Wisconsin is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Maryland home to Indiana, Saturday, October 28
Wisconsin at Illinois, Saturday, October 28