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Mean Green vs Red Wolves Game Preview

North Texas Mean GreenArkansas State Red Wolves
Oct 29, 7:00 PM | Turf of ASU Stadium

North Texas Mean Green vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Odds


Arkansas State looks to cover the Red Wolves-Mean Green point spread this week and improve its overall 5-2 mark when they host North Texas in Week 9 action.

The Red Wolves sport records of 5-2 and 6-1 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Mean Green sit at 3-5 and 5-3 ATS on the season. The over under records are 1-6 for the Red Wolves and 4-4 for the Mean Green.

View North Texas vs Arkansas State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The visitors opened as 16.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. No total had been posted as yet, check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Red Wolves, currently No. 42 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Mean Green, who rate No. 98 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 35-14 victory for the Red Wolves.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Arkansas State's No. 54-ranked offense, averaging 29.4 PPG, against a Mean Green defense that ranks No. 97 this week at 32.5 PPG. The Red Wolves aerial game is averaging 281.1 yards per game, less than the Mean Green secondary allows through the air, 284.9 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Mean Green own the league's No. 84-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 187 yards per game when on the road. Arkansas State, on the other hand, rates No. 7 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

North Texas was a 38-21 winner in their most recent outing at home against Louisiana-Monroe. They covered the 7–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (59) made winners of OVER bettors.

In their last action, Arkansas State was a 34-16 winner at home against Florida International. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (50) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 0-10
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Arkansas State Red Wolves Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few Mean Green at Red Wolves trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Texas's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games
North Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arkansas State
North Texas is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 9 games
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
North Texas at Troy, Saturday, November 12
Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic, Saturday, November 5