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Undefeated Knights Battle High-Scoring Tigers in AAC Championship Game


The undefeated Central Florida Knights will have their sights set on a 12th straight victory as they battle the Memphis Tigers in Saturday afternoon’s American Athletic Conference championship game at Bright House Networks Stadium. The Knights improved to 11-0 SU with last week’s 49-42 win over South Florida as 10-point home favorites, while the Tigers tallied a crushing 70-13 win over East Carolina as 29.5-point home chalk.

Shark Bites
  • Central Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last five games after consecutive wins.
  • Memphis is 7-0 SU in its last seven games against its conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of Memphis’s last eight games in December.

The two highest-scoring teams in the nation face off in Saturday’s matchup. UCF leads the country with 48.3 points per game this season, and has topped that number in two of its past three outings. However, the Knights remain a disappointment at the sportsbooks, covering just once in their past six, and have covered in just two of eight when favored by single digits.

The Tigers sit second to UCF with 47.0 ppg after tallying a combined 136 points over their past two outings, and have racked up 66 or more points on three occasions this season. Memphis has also surrendered big point totals, allowing 45 points in wins over SMU and UCLA, producing a 5-3 record for the OVER in totals betting.

UCF has dominated the Tigers in recent years, winning outright in 10 straight, including a 40-13 victory as 5.5-point chalk in Week 3. Recent head-to-head matchups have been relatively low-scoring. Memphis has averaged just 13 ppg in six meetings, with the UNDER going 4-1-1 during that stretch.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The UCF Knights were sitting as 7.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for OVER/UNDER betting purposes.

Earlier, OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 48-42 victory for the Knights. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Memphis Tigers vs UCF Knights Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the UCF Knights are 11-0 overall and 6-4-1 against the spread, while the Tigers are 10-1 and 7-4 ATS. As for the totals, UCF is 7-4 on the OU, and Memphis is 8-3 Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and UCF vs Memphis injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 6 (UCF Knights) and the No. 13 (Memphis Tigers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAA football Power Rankings at OddsShark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits UCF's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 48.27 PPG, against a Memphis defense that ranks No. 88 this week at 30.82 PPG. The UCF aerial game is averaging 325.18 yards per game, more than the Memphis secondary allows through the air, 259.91 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Tigers own the league's No. 105-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 225.25 yards per game when on the road. UCF, on the other hand, rates No. 41 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

East Carolina was unable to contain Patrick Taylor Jr. in its last action Saturday and the result was a 70-13 Week 13 loss against the Tigers.

In their last game, UCF's aerial attack generated 373 yards and the Knights came away with a 49-42 victory over USF at Bright House Networks Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
  • Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Central Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis