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Can Michigan Hold On To The Paul Bunyan Trophy?

The in-state rivalry between Michigan and Michigan State is one that dates back over a century. Though much of those 100-plus years of battles have tilted toward the Wolverines, recent history favors the Spartans. Michigan State is 7-2 SU (9-0 ATS) in the past nine battles between the two programs.

Shark Bites
  • The team with more rushing yards has won 42 of the past 47 games between Michigan and Michigan State.
  • Michigan is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home.
  • Michigan State is 22-8-1 ATS in its last 31 games on the road against teams with winning records.

Michigan took a 32-23 victory over Michigan State last season despite a fourth-quarter surge by the Spartans. That late offensive output was largely thanks to backup quarterback Brian Lewerke, who in just nine minutes of play accounted for 124 offensive yards and two touchdowns.

Lewerke is now the full-time starter for Michigan State and proving that he deserves that distinction. The sophomore has thrown for 963 yards and rushed for a team-high 248 yards through the first four games. Michigan State’s defense has been one of the best in the nation, holding opponents to 18.0 points and 247 yards per game.

Michigan comes into this battle a perfect 4-0 but has still yet to truly wow anyone. The offense has wisely leaned on the running game — Michigan is rushing the ball on nearly 60 percent of its plays — but will need likely starter John O’Korn to provide a boost for a lackluster passing attack. Defensively, Michigan is Michigan. Jim Harbaugh and Don Brown have put together one of the best units in the country that excels at getting after the quarterback.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Michigan Wolverines were sitting as 13-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for OVER/UNDER betting purposes.

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 33-20 result in favor of the Wolverines. Check the picks page or matchup report during the week as factors may cause that prediction to be re-run. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Michigan Wolverines are 4-0 overall and 2-2 against the spread, while the Spartans are 3-1 and 3-1 ATS. As for the totals, Michigan is 1-3 on the OU, and Michigan State is 1-3. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Michigan vs Michigan State injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Michigan Wolverines at No. 10 and the Michigan State Spartans at No. 61 heading into this contest.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Felton Davis III hauled in 9 passes for 114 yards against the Iowa defense in the team's last game, leading Michigan State over the Hawkeyes 17-10 on Saturday.

The Wolverines grabbed a Week 4 victory over the Boilermakers in their last game, winning 28-10 at Ross-Ade Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Michigan State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Michigan State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 7 games
  • Michigan State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Michigan is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 18 of Michigan's last 25 games
  • Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Michigan State at Minnesota, Saturday, October 14
Michigan at Indiana, Saturday, October 14