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Midshipmen home to Falcons in NCAAF betting action

Air Force FalconsNavy Midshipmen
1-4October 05, 2013, 11:30 | Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium2-1

The Navy Midshipmen host Air Force on Saturday, looking to build on their 2-1 ATS mark against the 1-4 Falcons in NCAAF action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

The Midshipmen are 2-1 so far on the season, and 2-1 ATS vs. the number. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 1-4 and 2-3 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Navy go 1-2 and the Falcons go 4-1 on the totals.

View Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen Odds and Stats.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 71-rated Midshipmen and the No. 113-rated Falcons in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 40-17 win for the Midshipmen on Saturday.

Air Force lost its last outing, a 45-42 result against Nevada on September 28. Air Force covered in that game as a 11.5-point underdog, while the 87 combined points took the game OVER the total. Karson Roberts ran through the Nevada defense for 161 yards in Air Force's last game, but the Falcons still lost a 45-42 decision at Mackay Stadium. In their last game, the Midshipmen were Week 5 losers coming out on the wrong end of 19-7 score against Western Kentucky.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Navy's No. 53-ranked offense (33 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 121 at 41.6 PPG. The Midshipmen passing attack has averaged 128 yards per game, less than the Falcons give up through the air (313.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 58-rated road run defense, allowing 168.5 yards per game. Navy, meanwhile, ranks No. 5 in rushing offense at home.

A few Falcons at Midshipmen trends to consider:
Air Force is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Navy
Air Force is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Navy
Air Force is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Air Force is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Navy is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Air Force
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
Navy is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Navy is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

Next up:
Air Force at San Diego State, Thursday, October 10th
Navy at Duke, Saturday, October 12th