Events
NCAAF
Mississippi State
Bulldogs
4 - 5
Alabama
Crimson Tide
9 - 0
November 12, 2016, 12:00 PM EST
 | Bryant-Denny Stadium

Game Preview

Mississippi State
Bulldogs
4 - 5
Alabama
Crimson Tide
9 - 0
November 12, 2016, 12:00 PM EST
 | Bryant-Denny Stadium

  • There has not been a ton to get excited about when Alabama and Mississippi State have faced each other over the past several years, as this SEC battle has been completely one-sided. The Tide have won the past eight meetings against the Bulldogs, with an average scoring margin of plus-20.5 points for ’Bama.

    Shark Bites
    • The UNDER is 8-1 in the past nine games between Alabama and Mississippi State.
    • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Mississippi State's last 17 games against the SEC.

    Alabama’s offense wasn’t pretty in a 10-0 win over LSU last week, but the defense continued to be the best in the nation. The Tide have given up a combined 24 points and 566 yards in their past three outings, all of which came against ranked opponents.

    Upset-minded Mississippi State is coming off a big win over then fourth-ranked Texas A&M thanks to Nick Fitzgerald. The sophomore quarterback accounted for 391 offensive yards and four touchdowns against a defense that ranks in the top 25 in points allowed.

    Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

    Several shops tracked by Odds Shark (including Sportsbook) set the point spread at -28.5 for the Alabama Crimson Tide . NCAA football bettors had to wait for the Sportsbook over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

    Odds Shark prediction models pick the Crimson Tide to win this game on Saturday 49-22. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

    Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    Alabama will face the 4-5 Mississippi State Bulldogs, who own a 4-5 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Alabama Crimson Tide are 4-5 so far this season while the Bulldogs are 4-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Alabama vs Mississippi State injuries news.

    The Alabama Crimson Tide sit at No. 2 in the current College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs are at No. 56 on that chart.

    Statistical Matchup

    The game also pits Alabama's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 43.88 PPG, against a Mississippi State defense that ranks No. 84 this week at 30 PPG. The Alabama aerial game is averaging 229.62 yards per game, less than the Mississippi State Bulldogs secondary allows through the air, 263.88 YPG per game.

    Defensively, the Mississippi State Bulldogs feature the league's No. 0-rated road run defense, allowing 180.75 yards per game. Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 0 in rushing offense at home.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    Nick Fitzgerald tore up the turf for 182 rushing yards in the latest Bulldogs game, a 35-28 win over the Aggies at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

    Last time we saw the Tigers, they had no answer for Jalen Hurts as the Crimson Tide rolled to a 10-0 victory at Tiger Stadium.

    Betting Trends
    • Mississippi State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
    • Mississippi State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
    • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games
    • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    Next Betting Matchups

    Mississippi State home to Arkansas, Saturday, November 19th
    Alabama home to Chattanooga, Saturday, November 19th

Back to Matchup
Power Ranking
Mississippi State 100
Alabama 13
Betting Odds Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide

There has not been a ton to get excited about when Alabama and Mississippi State have faced each other over the past several years, as this SEC battle has been completely one-sided. The Tide have won the past eight meetings against the Bulldogs, with an average scoring margin of plus-20.5 points for ‘Bama.

Smart Chart
  • MIS.ST
  • 31.62
  • 23.08
  • 8.54
  • 300.46
  • 82.54
  • 203.38
  • 134.15
  • -0.23
  •  
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • Passing Yards
  • Rush Yards
  • Passing Yards Allowed
  • Rushing Yards Allowed
  • Turnover Differential
  • ALAB
  • 41.08
  • 18.15
  • 22.93
  • 276.23
  • 195.69
  • 182.38
  • 130.38
  • 0.15
Head to Head Summary

No data available.

Team Record
Mississippi State Bulldogs
All Last 3 vs Conf
Record4-52-12-3
Home3-22-02-1
Away1-30-10-2
ATS4-51-23-2
ATS Home2-31-12-1
ATS Away2-20-11-1
Offense30.8943.0026.80
Defense29.7836.3328.60
Diff1.116.67-1.80
Team Record
Alabama Crimson Tide
All Last 3 vs Conf
Record9-03-06-0
Home5-01-02-0
Away4-02-04-0
ATS7-23-04-2
ATS Home4-11-01-1
ATS Away3-12-03-1
Offense40.1130.6737.17
Defense13.228.0017.17
Diff26.8922.6720.00
Head to Head Detail
Search NCAAF DatabaseTeamsScoreRush YardsPass YardsTotal YardsTurnovers
Nov 14, 2015ALAB312351443791
MIS.ST6893043932
Nov 15, 2014MIS.ST201382904283
ALAB251242113350
Nov 16, 2013ALAB201961873834
MIS.ST7531441971
Oct 27, 2012MIS.ST7472092563
ALAB381792354140
Nov 12, 2011ALAB242231633861
MIS.ST7121191310
Nov 13, 2010MIS.ST101491502992
ALAB301752774522
Nov 14, 2009ALAB312521924440
MIS.ST3114992133
Nov 15, 2008MIS.ST7351321671
ALAB321981663640
Nov 10, 2007ALAB121531212742
MIS.ST171151002151
Nov 4, 2006MIS.ST241311432742
ALAB161011872882
Betting Odds Trends
Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Mississippi State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
  • Mississippi State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
  • Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 9 games when playing Alabama
  • Mississippi State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Alabama
Betting Odds Trends
Alabama Crimson Tide
  • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games
  • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games at home
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Alabama's last 9 games when playing Mississippi State
  • Alabama is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
Injuries
Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Geor'quarius Spivey TE Is out for season, Eligibility
  • Justin Robinson WR Is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Western Michigan, Undisclosed
Injuries
Alabama Crimson Tide
  • Emmanuel Henderson Jr. RB Is out indefinitely, Hip
Last 5 Games
Mississippi State Bulldogs
View Game Logs
Date OPP Score SU Line ATS Off. Rush Off. Pass Off. Total Def. Rush Def. Pass Def. Total TO Location
Nov 5, 2016TEXA&M35-28W10/61W/O3652095741172653820Home
Oct 29, 2016SAMFOR56-41W-21.5/65.5L/O2524176691594686270Home
Oct 22, 2016KENTUC38-40L-6.5/54L/O28181362262292554-1Away
Oct 14, 2016BYU21-28L7.5/55.5W/U1632233861461653110Away
Oct 8, 2016AUBRN14-38L3/55L/U1031862892282044321Home
Alabama Crimson Tide
View Game Logs
Date OPP Score SU Line ATS Off. Rush Off. Pass Off. Total Def. Rush Def. Pass Def. Total TO Location
Nov 5, 2016LSU10-0W-7/46W/U21610732333921251Away
Oct 22, 2016TEXA&M33-14W-17.5/57.5W/U2871644511141642780Home
Oct 15, 2016TENN49-10W-14/53W/O438156594321311631Away
Oct 8, 2016ARK49-30W-14.5/48.5W/O26425351773400473-2Away
Oct 1, 2016KENTUC34-6W-37/55L/U1733154887289161-1Home
Offensive Comparison

No data available.

Defensive Comparison
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide

Scoring Allowed

Points Allowed

23.08 18.15

Last 3 Games

36.33 8.00

Yards Per Point

12.43 11.62

Overall Yards Allowed

Total

337.53 312.76

Passing

203.38 182.38

Rushing

134.15 130.38

On Road vs. At Home Yards Allowed

Total

341.83 232.85

Passing

239.50 135.71

Rushing

102.33 97.14
Supergrid
Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense31.624318.159
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense237.8348135.711
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense79.6712397.1417
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense41.08423.0840
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense268.4336239.5081
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense218.8619102.3310
Recent Form

No data available.

Power Stats
  • MIS.ST
  • 12.43
  • 14.92
  • -2.5
  •  
  • 9.15
  • 10.45
  • -1.3
  •  
  • 3.63
  • 3.91
  • -0.28
  • Yards Per Point
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • Yards Per Pass
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • Yards Per Rush
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • ALAB
  • 11.62
  • 17.53
  • -5.92
  •  
  • 12.83
  • 9.96
  • 2.87
  •  
  • 5.55
  • 3.63
  • 1.92