NCAAF

NC State Wolfpack vs Texas A&M Aggies

NC State
Wolfpack
9 - 3
Texas A&M
Aggies
8 - 4
December 31, 2018, 7:30 PM EST
 | TIAA Bank Field

Game Preview

NC State
Wolfpack
9 - 3
Texas A&M
Aggies
8 - 4
December 31, 2018, 7:30 PM EST
 | TIAA Bank Field
  • TIAA Bank Field is once again the setting for this year’s Gator Bowl, as the North Carolina State Wolfpack and Texas A&M Aggies are set to collide for the right to be called champions in the Sunshine State. Sportsbooks opened the Aggies as 6.5-point favorites with a total of 58.5.

    SHARK BITES
    • Texas A&M is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as favorite.
    • North Carolina State is 1-6 SU and ATS in its last seven games vs the SEC.
    • The total has gone OVER in North Carolina State’s last six games in the playoffs.

    Wolfpack vs Aggies Game Center

    Wolfpack have traditionally been a poor bet vs the SEC

    Offense certainly wasn’t the issue for North Carolina State this year, as Wolfpack quarterback Ryan Finley racked up 3,789 yards and 24 touchdowns to go along with a quarterback rating of 151.9. Standout wide receivers Kelvin Harmon and Jakobi Meyers were a big reason for that success, but Harmon declared for the NFL draft and is opting to sit out of his team’s bowl game.

    N.C. State simply hasn’t fared well when it comes to covering the spread against SEC opponents of late, evidenced by the Wolfpack going 1-6 ATS in their past seven vs the conference. The Wolfpack have a habit of going OVER totals in bowl season, going OVER in each of their past six bowl games.

    A&M’s pass defense could be a major liability

    Texas A&M’s defense has been excellent against the run and vulnerable against the pass, so the Wolfpack would be wise to air it out in this one. The Aggies defense is second in the nation, yielding 92 yards per game on the ground, yet they’ve allowed 262.7 passing YPG – 109th in the country.

    Expect the Aggies to lean heavily on starting running back Trayveon Williams, as the 21-year-old will look to improve upon his season totals of 1,524 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging six yards per carry.

    The Aggies have been a fantastic bet when getting the favorite label, evidenced by the squad going 8-2 ATS in its past 10 as chalk. They’ve been even better when it comes to winning straight up, going a perfect 14-0 SU in their last 14 contests as favorites.

    My pick: take the OVER

    I think this game is going to be a little closer than oddsmakers are expecting, and while A&M is a worthy favorite, N.C. State’s electric offense should keep it close. I’m more interested in the total, though. The Aggies have gone OVER the total in four of their past five bowl games, while the Wolfpack have eclipsed the closing total in each of their past six bowl games. I’m expecting that trend to continue and for fireworks to unfold in Florida.

Odds

Monday, December 31 Mon Dec 31


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+3
-110
+165
o58.5
-107
-3
-110
-190
u58.5
-107
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+7.5
-114
+285
o58
-110
-7.5
-106
-340
u58
-110

Edge Finder

24.31
Total Score
22.75
220.08
Passing Yards
214.17
113.77
Rushing Yards
142.25
31:22
Time on Field
27:51
70.23
Number of Plays
63.17
4.84
Yards Per Play
5.73
24.31
Total Score
22.75
6.38
First Quarter
4.83
8.38
Second Quarter
6.83
4.62
Third Quarter
5.08
4.46
Fourth Quarter
6.00
220.08
Passing Yards
214.17
36.23
Pass Attempts
32.58
20.69
Pass Completions
18.33
2.00
Sacks
2.08
11.77
Sack Yards
12.08
10.64
Yards Per Pass
11.68
113.77
Rushing Yards
142.25
34.00
Rush Attempts
30.58
3.35
Yards Per Rush
4.65
0.62
Interceptions
0.50
1.38
Fumbles
1.83
0.62
Fumbles Lost
1.00
1.23
Total Turnovers
1.50
7.38
Penalties
6.33
57.85
Penalty Yards
49.08
31:22
Time on Field
27:51
70.23
Number of Plays
63.17
4.84
Yards Per Play
5.73
5.31
Punts
5.17
42.09
Punt Average
41.33
59.23
Return Yards
53.67

Head To Head

NCSU
Stat Type TEXA&M
0-0
Record
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0.00
Score
0.00
-
Rush Yds
-
-
Pass Attempts
-
-
Completion %
-
0.00
Passing Yds
0.00
0
Total Yds
0
-
Turnovers
-
NCSU
Stat Type TEXA&M
0-0
Record
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0.00
Score
0.00
-
Rush Yds
-
-
Pass Attempts
-
-
Completion %
-
0.00
Passing Yds
0.00
0
Total Yds
0
-
Turnovers
-

Team Records

NCSU
Record TEXA&M
9-3
All
8-4
6-1
Home
6-1
3-2
Away
1-3
0-0
Neutral Site
1-0
6-6
ATS
8-4
4-3
ATS Home
6-1
2-3
ATS Away
2-2
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-1
4-6-1
O/U
5-6
2-3-1
O/U Home
3-3
2-3
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-1
NCSU
Record TEXA&M
5-3
All
5-3
3-1
Home
3-0
2-2
Away
1-3
0-0
Neutral Site
1-0
3-5
ATS
4-4
2-2
ATS Home
2-1
1-3
ATS Away
2-2
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-1
3-5
O/U
3-5
2-2
O/U Home
1-2
1-3
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-1
NCSU
Record TEXA&M
7-3
All
7-3
4-1
Home
5-0
3-2
Away
1-3
0-0
Neutral Site
1-0
5-5
ATS
6-4
3-2
ATS Home
4-1
2-3
ATS Away
2-2
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-1
4-5-1
O/U
4-6
2-2-1
O/U Home
2-3
2-3
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00 pm EST Mostly Cloudy
21ºC / 70ºF
83% Humidity
3% Precipitation
67% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 5
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Jakeen HarrisDBIs out for season, Pectoral
Rakeim AshfordSIs out for season, Undisclosed
MJ MorrisQBIs out for season, Redshirt
Name Position Inj Desc
Josh DeBerryDBIs "?" , Undisclosed
Ainias SmithWRIs OUT Wednesday vs Oklahoma State, Finger
Max JohnsonQBIs OUT Wednesday vs Oklahoma State, Transferred
Jardin GilbertDBIs out indefinitely, Shoulder
Evan StewartWRIs "?" , Undisclosed
Conner WeigmanQBIs out for season, Foot
Donovan GreenTEIs out indefinitely, Knee
Walter NolenDLIs OUT Wednesday vs Oklahoma State, Personal
Enai WhiteDLIs out for season, Undisclosed
Micah TeaseWRIs out indefinitely, Suspension

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 1, 2018E.CAR58-3W-25.5/61W/P23442165531731040
Nov 24, 2018UNC34-28W-7/62.5L/U2062004061532764290
Nov 17, 2018LOUISV52-10W-16/66W/U164354518254157411-2
Nov 8, 2018WAKE23-27L-19/67.5L/U473744211382974350
Nov 3, 2018FLAST47-28W-9.5/51.5W/O17724041724421445-2
Oct 27, 2018SYRACU41-51L-2/65L/O68473541814805611
Oct 20, 2018CLEM7-41L+18.5/58L/U104193297913804712
Oct 6, 2018BOST.C28-23W-6.5/60.5L/U2253085331201983183
Sep 29, 2018VIRGNA35-21W-6.5/53W/O17625743393258351-2
Sep 22, 2018MARSHL37-20W-6/56.5W/O12537750254270324-2
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 24, 2018LSU74-72W-3/45.5L/O2342875212152814960
Nov 17, 2018UAB41-20W-17/46.5W/O252192444111306417-2
Nov 10, 2018O-MISS38-24W-13/68W/U266236502673734401
Nov 3, 2018AUBRN24-28L+3.5/47.5L/O201220421192592782
Oct 27, 2018MIS.ST13-28L+1/42.5L/U612322931432413841
Oct 13, 2018S.CARO26-23W-2.5/50W/U10535345876223299-2
Oct 6, 2018KENTUC20-14W-5.5/49W/U164226390701081782
Sep 29, 2018ARK24-17W-19.5/56.5L/U176201377551932481
Sep 22, 2018ALAB23-45L+24.5/59W/O1302633931094155242
Sep 15, 2018UL.MON48-10W-28/66W/U281249530103225328-1
View Game Logs
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