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NCAA Football Week 10 Recap

The NCAA betting matchup of the week between TCU and Utah was a big statement game – but did it tell us more about TCU or about Utah?

The Horned Frogs were already expected to give Utah all it could handle on the road, favored by five points at most sportsbooks, but did anyone see the 47-7 romp coming?

As we told you last week, BCS crunch time creates some routs and huge covers for contenders - you just need to separate them from the pretenders who will wilt under the pressure and cost you money.

TCU rolled up 558 yards of offense to stay undefeated and bring Utah’s perfect season to a screeching halt. Andy Dalton was the big story, throwing for 355 yards and three touchdowns. Living up to its reputation as the country’s top defense, TCU held Utah to just 199 total yards. Even though the Horned Frogs squashed Utah’s offense, the 54 total points eclipsed the over/under of 51.5 thanks to TCU’s scoring prowess.

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The LSU Tigers tricked Alabama – and the droves of people who bet against them – and improved to 8-1 in another crucial game over the weekend. LSU was a 6.5-point underdog at home, largely because its quarterback, Jordan Jefferson, had played so terribly all year. But Jefferson finally delivered on Saturday, completing 10 of 13 passes for a touchdown and no picks. LSU also used multiple reverses in clutch situations to break big gains and set up scoring plays.

The Tigers ran for 225 yards and their elite defense held the defending champion Crimson Tide to 325 total yards. This game probably broke many bettors’ hearts, and not just because of LSU’s upset win. The 24-21 score totalled 45 points; the betting total was 45.5 points in the closing lines at most books, putting the game just UNDER the total.

As many pundits predicted, Andrew Luck and the Stanford Cardinal exposed the supposedly stingy Arizona Wildcats as pretenders over the weekend. Stanford closed as a 7.5-point favorite at most books and delivered in a big way, winning 42-17. Luck was efficient as always, throwing for 293 yards and two scores, but the real story was Stepfan Taylor. He tallied 82 rushing yards on 19 carries and ran for four touchdowns. The 59 total points just cleared the common total of 57.5.

Week 11 may not have any mega matchups between undefeated teams but it has some interesting conference play. Alabama should come out angry as a home favorite against Mississippi State, another 7-2 team. Arizona will try to dust itself off against another powerful offense when USC comes to town. And Ohio State will try to keep its big bowl game aspirations alive when it hosts Penn State; the 8-1 Buckeyes haven’t lost at home this season.