Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (ND -19.5, O/U 54.5)
Notre Dame will kick off its first season in the ACC on Saturday with a home matchup against Duke. Brian Kelly and the Irish enter as the No. 10 team in the AP poll and will look to build off their 11-2 record from a season ago. Ian Book returns as the signal-caller and has legitimate Heisman aspirations after posting over 3,500 yards of offense and 38 total touchdowns in his junior campaign. Duke is looking to rebound from a poor finish to 2019. The Blue Devils lost five of their last six games and missed out on a bowl game for the second time in four years.
Notre Dame clearly holds the upper hand on paper in this matchup, and sportsbooks agree by listing them as 19.5-point favorites over the Blue Devils. Our model believes Notre Dame’s edge over Duke is even larger, projecting a final score of 39.6-16.4 in favor of the Fighting Irish. We’re suggesting a $72 wager on NOTRE DAME -19.5 for an average $100 bettor.
Prediction Machine’s NCAAF picks went 322-275 ATS (53.9%) and 321-249 on O/Us (56.3%) in 2019, profiting +55.29 units, or $5,529 for an average $100 bettor. Head over to predictionmachine.com to sign up for a free trial and get access to every NCAAF projection.
Why will Notre Dame Cover the Spread?
Duke at Notre Dame: How to Bet the Total
This matchup currently features an OVER/UNDER of 54.5. Prediction Machine’s projected score totals 56.0 points (39.6-16.4), giving us a slight edge on the OVER in this one. Our model suggests a $33 wager on OVER 54.5 for an average $100 bettor.