Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Boston College Eagles (BC -3, O/U 54.5)
Boston College will play host to Georgia Tech on Saturday as both teams look to improve to 3-2 in ACC play.
The Yellow Jackets enter following an absolute beatdown at the hands of Clemson, hoping to right the ship and avoid losing four of their last five. The Eagles limp into this contest as well following a 40-16 loss to Virginia Tech, needing to secure a victory before next week’s matchup with the seemingly immovable force that is Clemson. BC currently sits as a 3-point favorite over the visiting Yellow Jackets, but our model thinks that number may be a bit short.
Our model is expecting the Eagles to win by closer to a touchdown, projecting a final score of 31.4-24.3 in favor of Boston College. With a projected 7.1-point victory and the spread sitting at 3 points, we have a sizable edge on Jeff Hafley’s squad. Our model suggests an $81 wager on BOSTON COLLEGE -3 for an average $100 bettor.
Prediction Machine’s NCAAF picks are 70-60 ATS (53.8%) and 74-49 on O/Us (60.2%) in 2020, profiting +16.17 units, or $1,617 for an average $100 bettor. Head over to predictionmachine.com to sign up for a free trial and get access to every NCAAF projection.
Why will Boston College cover the spread?
- The Eagles’ passing game should be able to exploit a Georgia Tech secondary that’s allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt and 307.6 yards passing per contest (ninth-most). Phil Jurkovec is the ACC’s second-leading passer behind only Trevor Lawrence, having thrown for 1,526 yards and 10 touchdowns already this season. Jurkovec’s 203 passing attempts are second-most in the ACC, so expect the Eagles to keep the air raid mentality going against a porous Yellow Jackets defense.
- The Yellow Jackets have allowed 16 passing touchdowns on the season. That’s not only the most in the ACC, it’s the most in the country. Boston College’s 305.2 passing yards per game (17th) and 10 passing TDs (T-18th) indicate the Eagles should have no issue putting up points through the air.
- Georgia Tech has coughed the ball up more than just about any team in the country. Their 3.0 giveaways per game are third-most in FBS and QB Jeff Sims’ nine interceptions are a big reason why. Boston College is averaging one interception per game thus far, so the Eagles are in good position to gain some extra possessions on Saturday.
Yellow Jackets vs Eagles: How to bet the total
This matchup currently features an OVER/UNDER of 54.5. Prediction Machine’s projected score totals 55.7 points (31.4-24.3), giving us a slight edge on the OVER in this one. Our model suggests a $29 wager on OVER 54.5 for an average $100 bettor.
