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NCAAF Free Pick From Linebacker: Minnesota vs Fresno State

Linebacker Minnesota Fresno State Betting Pick

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Fresno State Bulldogs (FSU +3, O/U 46.5)

The Minnesota Golden Gophers head across the country to square off with Fresno State on Saturday night. Minnesota enters as a 3-point favorite after winning last year’s matchup 21-14 at home. They’ll look for a repeat performance against a Bulldog team that suffered a tough loss to USC in Week 1. The Linebacker’s model projects a final score of 25.0 - 22.0 in favor of Fresno State, giving us a sizable play on the Bulldogs. We recommend a wager of $118 on Fresno State +3 for an average $100 bettor.

NCAAF picks went 48-28 in Week 1, profiting +10.94 units, or $1,094 for an average $100 bettor. Linebacker subscribers profited over $5,000 following our betting recommendations in the 2018 college football season (avg $100 bettor). Head over to thelinebacker.com to sign up for a free trial, and get access to EVERY NCAAF Week 2 prediction.

Why will Fresno State cover the spread?

  • Minnesota allowed 5.1 yards per carry against an FCS opponent (South Dakota State) in Week 1. Fresno State’s strength is its rushing attack, which piled up 206 yards on 5.2 yards per carry in their opener against USC.
  • The Bulldogs finished 11th in rushing defense last season, allowing just 113.4 yards per game on an impressive 3.43 YPC allowed. They return their entire defensive line against a Minnesota team that averaged a measly 3.1 YPC against South Dakota State.
  • Minnesota starts 2019 missing its two leading tacklers from a season ago, which could be troublesome against a running quarterback like Jorge Reyna. Reyna rushed 20 times against USC in the opener, racking up 88 yards in the process.
  • Fresno State is susceptible in the secondary after losing two starting DBs from last year’s team. They allowed USC QBs to complete 73.8 percent of their passes in Week 1. Minnesota likes to hide starter Tanner Morgan and rely on the running game, as Morgan’s attempted more than 25 passes just twice in eight career starts, so they likely won’t be able to expose the Bulldogs’ weakness.

Minnesota @ Fresno State: How to bet the total

This game currently features an OVER/UNDER of 46.5. The Linebacker’s projected score totals 47 points (25.0 - 22.0), giving us no edge on the total in this one.