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NCAAF Free Pick From Linebacker: Texas A&M Aggies vs Georgia Bulldogs

NCAAF Free Pick From Linebacker: Texas A&M Aggies vs Georgia Bulldogs

Texas A&M Aggies vs Georgia Bulldogs (UGA -13.5, O/U 45)

The Georgia Bulldogs are looking to hold on to their No. 4 ranking in the College Football Playoff this Saturday against a formidable opponent in Jimbo Fisher’s Aggies. Texas A&M comes in having won four in a row, with its only losses on the season coming against Clemson, Auburn and Alabama. The Aggies will now square off with another top-10 opponent between the hedges in Georgia, and will attempt to knock the Bulldogs out of playoff contention. Kirby Smart’s squad will have another dogfight on its hands after hanging on 21-14 against Auburn in Week 12.

The Aggies present a tough test for Georgia, but the Bulldogs are still favored by nearly two touchdowns at home, currently sitting as 13.5-point favorites. Our model believes they’ll stifle Jimbo Fisher’s offense and come out with a victory, and we project they’ll cover the spread as well. Our model predicts a final score of 31.3 - 14.3 in favor of Georgia, giving us a recommended wager of $70 on GEORGIA -13.5 for an average $100 bettor.

The Linebacker’s NCAAF picks are 282-238 ATS (54.2%) and 282-218 on OVER/UNDERs (56.4%) over the first 12 weeks, profiting +60.16 units, or $6,016 for an average $100 bettor. Head over to thelinebacker.com to sign up for a free trial and get access to EVERY NCAAF Week 13 prediction.

Why Will Georgia Cover the Spread?

  • Texas A&M’s ground game has really rounded into form as the season has progressed. The Aggies are averaging a healthy 5.0 yards per carry on the season (25th), and have improved that number to 6.3 yards per carry over their last three games. Georgia’s defense is built to stop the run, as the Bulldogs have surrendered 2.9 yards per carry on the season and a measly 2.0 yards per carry in their last three games.
  • Georgia just shut down Auburn’s prolific rushing attack, holding the Tigers to 84 yards on 36 carries (2.3 ypc). That’s a bad sign for the Aggies, as their three losses have all come when they’ve rushed for 125 yards or less.
  • On the flip side, Georgia is ranked 12th in the nation with 5.4 yards per carry and is one of 29 teams to average north of 200 yards rushing per game. The Aggies run defense has been mediocre thus far, surrendering 4.3 yards per carry (65th).
  • Georgia’s defense is truly elite, allowing just 10.5 points per game to opposing offenses. That mark ranks second in the nation behind Ohio State (9.8 ppg).
  • Outside of Jake Fromm’s three-interception game in their lone loss this season, the third-year starter hasn’t turned the ball over one time. Texas A&M has succeeded this season by winning the time of possession battle, ranking eighth in the country with nearly 34 minutes of possession per game. That will be a difficult mark to achieve against a Georgia team that runs the ball extremely well, barely turns it over, and forces your offense off the field on third down. Georgia allows opponents to convert on third down just 28.35 percent of the time, which ranks eighth-best in the country.

Texas A&M @ Georgia: How to Bet the Total

This matchup currently features an OVER/UNDER of 45. The Linebacker’s projected score totals 45.6 points (31.3 - 14.3), giving us no suggested wager on the total in this matchup.