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NCAAF Matchup - Broncos Falcons Odds Preview

Bowling Green FalconsWestern Michigan Broncos
Oct 8, 2:00 PM | Turf of Waldo Stadium

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Odds


The Broncos hope to be bad hosts on Saturday as the Falcons pay a visit to Waldo Stadium in Week 6 betting action.

They battle the Falcons, currently with a 3-2 mark (3-2 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 2-3 for the Broncos and 4-1 for the Falcons.

View Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Broncos were listed as 11.5-point favorites at sportsbooks on the opening college football line.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Broncos - Falcons odds would favor the Broncos if the lines were set according to power ranks. Western Michigan is rated No. 46 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Falcons sit at No. 70. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 36-34 win for the Broncos.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Western Michigan's No. 56-ranked offense (30 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 71 at 26.8 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 301.8 yards per game, more than the Falcons give up through the air (216 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 52-rated road run defense, allowing 151.7 yards per game. Western Michigan, meanwhile, ranks No. 74 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Bowling Green, they were a 55-10 loser as they battled West Virginia on the road. Bowling Green failed to cover in the match as a 17.5-point underdog, while 65 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Western Michigan won its last outing, a 38-31 result against Connecticut on October 1. Western Michigan covered in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 69 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Bowling Green Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 3-7

Western Michigan Broncos Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Falcons at Broncos trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Bowling Green is 17-6-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Bowling Green is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Western Michigan
Bowling Green is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 7 games
Western Michigan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Bowling Green

Next up:
Bowling Green home to Toledo, Saturday, October 15
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois, Saturday, October 15