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NCAAF Matchup - Hilltoppers Golden Eagles Odds Preview

Southern Miss Golden EaglesWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
Sep 22, 7:00 PM | Turf of L.T. Smith Stadium

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Odds


Southern Miss travels to Western Kentucky on Saturday, hoping to boost its 0-2 mark in Week 4 action with a victory over the Hilltoppers.

They battle the Golden Eagles, currently with a 0-2 mark (0-2 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 1-1 for the Hilltoppers and 1-1 for the Golden Eagles.

View Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Several shops tracked by OddsShark set the point spread at 2 in favor of the home side. NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 23 (Hilltoppers) and the No. 110 (Golden Eagles) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 28-7 result in favor of the Hilltoppers is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Western Kentucky's No. 75-ranked offense, averaging 27 PPG, against a Golden Eagles defense that ranks No. 107 this week at 36.5 PPG. The Hilltoppers aerial game is averaging 230 yards per game, less than the Golden Eagles secondary allows through the air, 262.5 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Golden Eagles feature the league's No. 89-rated road run defense, allowing 278 yards per game. Western Kentucky, meanwhile, ranks No. 34 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Southern Miss, they were a 24-14 loser as they battled East Carolina at home. Southern Miss failed to cover in the match as a 7-point favorite, while 38 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Golden Eagles suffered a Week 3 loss against East Carolina in their last game, falling 24-14 at MM Roberts Stadium.

Western Kentucky won its last outing, a 32-31 result against Kentucky on September 15. Western Kentucky covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 63 combined points took the game OVER the total. Antonio Andrews went over the 100-yard mark (125) in his team's latest effort as Western Kentucky defeated Kentucky by a score of 32-31 on Saturday.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 2-8

A few Golden Eagles at Hilltoppers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games on the road
Southern Miss is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Southern Miss is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Southern Miss is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games at home

Next up:
Southern Miss home to Louisville, Saturday, September 29
Western Kentucky at Arkansas State, Saturday, September 29