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NCAAF Matchup - Jaguars Trojans Odds Preview

Troy TrojansSouth Alabama Jaguars
Sep 29, 3:30 PM | Turf of Ladd Peebles Stadium

Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Odds


The Jaguars will try to win and cover the spread at Ladd Peebles Stadium on Saturday when they get a visit from the Trojans in Week 5 action.

The Jaguars sit at 1-3 (2-2 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Trojans are currently 2-2 (3-1 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? South Alabama is 1-2 OU, and Troy is 1-3 OU.

View Troy vs South Alabama Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Oddsmakers opened the Jaguars as 9.5-point underdogs in the game, while the betting total had not been set at the time of writing.

Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 82-rated Jaguars and the No. 98-ranked Trojans, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 22-12 result in favor of the Trojans.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits South Alabama's No. 120-ranked offense, averaging 14.2 PPG, against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 73 this week at 25.8 PPG. The Jaguars aerial game is averaging 209.5 yards per game, less than the Trojans secondary allows through the air, 244 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Trojans feature the league's No. 55-rated road run defense, allowing 160 yards per game. South Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 104 in rushing offense at home.

Troy won its last outing, a 14-7 result against North Texas on September 22. Troy covered in that game as a 1-point favorite, while the 21 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Troy won its last game, 14-7 over North Texas on Saturday, behind a 120-yard receiving performance from Chip Reeves at Apogee Stadium.

South Alabama was a 30-10 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Mississippi State. They covered the 32-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (40) made winners of UNDER bettors. South Alabama didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Bulldogs as Mississippi State blasted them 30-10 in Week 4 action.

Troy Trojans Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 3-7

South Alabama Jaguars Trends:
When playing in September are 1-5
When playing on turf are 1-2
After being outgained are 1-2
After a loss are 1-2

A few Trojans at Jaguars trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Troy's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Troy's last 23 games on the road
Troy is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Troy is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
South Alabama is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Troy home to Western Kentucky, Thursday, October 11
South Alabama at Arkansas State, Saturday, October 13