NCAAF

NIU Huskies vs Buffalo Bulls

NIU
Huskies
7 - 5
Buffalo
Bulls
10 - 2
November 30, 2018, 7:00 PM EST
 | Ford Field

Game Preview

NIU
Huskies
7 - 5
Buffalo
Bulls
10 - 2
November 30, 2018, 7:00 PM EST
 | Ford Field
  • The MAC championship is up for grabs as the 10-2 Buffalo Bulls collide with the 7-5 Northern Illinois Huskies at Ford Field. This is the seventh appearance for Northern Illinois in the MAC championship game in the last nine years and the Huskies are a 4-point underdog to win the title for the first time since 2014, with the total Sportsbook at 49.5 points.

    Shark Bites
    • Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games.
    • Northern Illinois is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games vs Buffalo (avg. winning margin: 25.9).
    • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Northern Illinois’ last 12 games (avg. combined score: 40.83).

    Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Game Center

    Huskies limp into Championship game

    Northern Illinois had its six-game winning streak snapped in Week 12 when it fell 13-7 to Miami (OH) and followed that defeat up with a 28-21 loss to Western Michigan last week. The defense has been the key to victory for the Huskies this year as it surrenders just 20.9 points per game, ranking in a tie with LSU for 24th-fewest in the nation, and leads the league with 46 sacks. They possess a mean defensive end in Sutton Smith, who has racked up the fourth-most sacks in college football at 13, including four in last week’s game vs Western Michigan. With a stout defensive line, opponents are having a hard time with their run attacks, as the Huskies are allowing just 107 rushing yards per game, which is 13th-best in college football.

    The offense, though, has been a bit of a disaster, averaging just 19.9 points per game, which is the ninth-lowest in the NCAA, and producing the 10th-fewest passing yards per game at 141.3. Sophomore Marcus Childers is a dual-threat quarterback, throwing for over 200 yards in just one game this year, while rushing the ball double-digit times in 10 of 12 games, racking up a total of 438 yards and six touchdowns and throwing for 1,696 yards and 11 TDs through the air.

    Bulls look to flex offensive muscles to claim the title

    For the first time since the 2008 season, Buffalo is appearing in the MAC championship game and it is looking to move its record to 2-0 in title games. The Bulls put together a solid 10-2 record this season, but their two losses were beatdowns, falling 42-13 to Army and 52-17 to Ohio, both teams that rank in the top 10 for rushing offense in the nation. The Knights and Bobcats each ran for four touchdowns and the Bulls are allowing 170.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 75th in the nation.

    However, their pass defense is the 13th-best in college football, limiting opponents to just 174.9 passing yards per game, which will make things tough for Childers. Buffalo rolled through the season with its explosive offense, averaging 35.3 points per game behind junior quarterback Tyree Jackson, who threw for 2,605 yards with 25 touchdowns and just 11 interceptions. The Michigan native also tucked the ball 41 times for 167 yards and added seven touchdowns. The Bulls also have a two running-back approach with a pair of freshmen in Kevin Marks and Jaret Patterson, who have combined for 1,607 yards and 23 touchdowns this season.

    Should you be on the UNDER in this game?

    Both teams have strong defensive tendencies and Sportsbook has the total Sportsbook at 49.5 points. Northern Illinois has gone UNDER in nine of its 12 games this season with an average combined score of 40.83 and scores the ninth-fewest points per game in the nation at just 19.9. However, Buffalo scores the 26th-most points per game in college football at 35.3 and gains the 40th-most rushing yards per game at 200.3. That area of its attack may be shut down by the defensive front of the Huskies. They are allowing just 107 rushing yards per game, which is the 13th-fewest in the NCAA. I think these teams counter each other very well and I like the UNDER 49.5 points.

    My take on Northern Illinois vs Buffalo

    I like Buffalo to cover the 4-point spread. I do think this will be a close game and that the Huskies defensive line is going to cause a lot of issues for the two freshman backs for the Bulls. However, Northern Illinois is susceptible to the passing game and I think Tyree Jackson will be able to exploit that enough to rack up some points, while Northern Illinois scores the ninth-fewest points per game and it will fail to cover the 4 points. Lastly, the Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and were 9-3 ATS all season.

Odds

Friday, November 30 Fri Nov 30


Opening
Current

vs7:00pm ET
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+4
-107
+150
o48.5
-110
-4
-107
-170
u48.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+3
-105
+150
o51
-115
-3
-115
-170
u51
-105

Edge Finder

32.21
Total Score
29.25
185.36
Passing Yards
215.75
241.57
Rushing Yards
192.67
33:30
Time on Field
29:47
71.64
Number of Plays
75.50
5.96
Yards Per Play
5.41
32.21
Total Score
29.25
4.79
First Quarter
4.58
10.64
Second Quarter
9.67
6.21
Third Quarter
8.25
10.14
Fourth Quarter
6.75
185.36
Passing Yards
215.75
25.29
Pass Attempts
30.58
14.57
Pass Completions
18.17
0.71
Sacks
1.33
4.57
Sack Yards
7.67
12.72
Yards Per Pass
11.88
241.57
Rushing Yards
192.67
46.36
Rush Attempts
44.92
5.21
Yards Per Rush
4.29
0.57
Interceptions
0.92
1.29
Fumbles
1.25
0.71
Fumbles Lost
0.67
1.29
Total Turnovers
1.58
5.00
Penalties
5.42
45.29
Penalty Yards
51.92
33:30
Time on Field
29:47
71.64
Number of Plays
75.50
5.96
Yards Per Play
5.41
3.50
Punts
3.42
42.53
Punt Average
38.20
63.71
Return Yards
64.25

Head To Head

NIU
Stat Type BUFF
10-0
Record
0-10
7-3
ATS
3-7
2-6
O/U
2-6
40.90
Score
15.00
260.00
Rush Yds
114.80
27.00
Pass Attempts
38.50
58.15
Completion %
56.62
218.50
Passing Yds
241.20
478.5
Total Yds
356
1.20
Turnovers
2.70
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
3-0
Record
0-3
2-1
ATS
1-2
1-2
O/U
1-2
33.00
Score
16.67
287.67
Rush Yds
84.00
28.33
Pass Attempts
40.67
60.00
Completion %
63.11
204.33
Passing Yds
300.33
492
Total Yds
384.33
1.67
Turnovers
2.67
Oct 14/17 (1 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Away
Home
14
Score
13
-7
ATS
+7
49.5 o
O/U
49.5 u
217
Rush Yds
39
31
Pass Attempts
34
64.52
Completion %
61.76
224
Passing Yds
344
441
Total Yds
383
2
Turnovers
1
Oct 22/16 (2 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Home
Away
44
Score
7
-24
ATS
+24
61 o
O/U
61 u
312
Rush Yds
135
30
Pass Attempts
41
53.33
Completion %
60.98
199
Passing Yds
203
511
Total Yds
338
1
Turnovers
4
Nov 11/15 (3 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Away
Home
41
Score
30
-7
ATS
+7
55 o
O/U
55 u
334
Rush Yds
78
24
Pass Attempts
47
62.50
Completion %
65.96
190
Passing Yds
354
524
Total Yds
432
2
Turnovers
3
Oct 13/12 (4 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Home
Away
45
Score
3
-14
ATS
+14
55.5 o
O/U
55.5 u
219
Rush Yds
74
25
Pass Attempts
49
60.00
Completion %
55.10
241
Passing Yds
263
460
Total Yds
337
1
Turnovers
3
Oct 22/11 (5 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Away
Home
31
Score
30
-14
ATS
+14
61.5 o
O/U
61.5 u
178
Rush Yds
168
26
Pass Attempts
54
42.31
Completion %
64.81
150
Passing Yds
404
328
Total Yds
572
0
Turnovers
5
Oct 16/10 (6 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Home
Away
45
Score
14
-14
ATS
+14
50 o
O/U
50 u
281
Rush Yds
130
26
Pass Attempts
26
50.00
Completion %
34.62
160
Passing Yds
120
441
Total Yds
250
2
Turnovers
2
Sep 16/06 (7 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Home
Away
31
Score
13
-26
ATS
+26
48 o
O/U
48 u
344
Rush Yds
99
19
Pass Attempts
41
63.16
Completion %
60.98
156
Passing Yds
250
500
Total Yds
349
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 8/03 (8 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Away
Home
40
Score
9
-23
ATS
+23
51.5 o
O/U
51.5 u
201
Rush Yds
130
31
Pass Attempts
37
54.84
Completion %
51.35
280
Passing Yds
176
481
Total Yds
306
2
Turnovers
4
Oct 28/00 (9 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Home
Away
73
Score
10
-33.5
ATS
+33.5
O/U
286
Rush Yds
174
32
Pass Attempts
29
65.63
Completion %
31.03
360
Passing Yds
107
646
Total Yds
281
0
Turnovers
4
Oct 2/99 (10 of 10)
NIU
Stat Type BUFF
Away
Home
45
Score
21
-15.5
ATS
+15.5
O/U
228
Rush Yds
121
26
Pass Attempts
27
65.38
Completion %
62.96
225
Passing Yds
191
453
Total Yds
312
1
Turnovers
1

Team Records

NIU
Record BUFF
7-5
All
10-2
3-2
Home
5-1
4-3
Away
5-1
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-6
ATS
9-3
2-3
ATS Home
4-2
4-3
ATS Away
5-1
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
3-9
O/U
8-3
0-5
O/U Home
4-1
3-4
O/U Away
4-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
NIU
Record BUFF
6-2
All
7-1
3-1
Home
4-0
3-1
Away
3-1
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
4-4
ATS
7-1
1-3
ATS Home
4-0
3-1
ATS Away
3-1
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
2-6
O/U
5-3
0-4
O/U Home
3-1
2-2
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
NIU
Record BUFF
7-3
All
8-2
3-1
Home
4-1
4-2
Away
4-1
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
5-5
ATS
8-2
1-3
ATS Home
4-1
4-2
ATS Away
4-1
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
3-7
O/U
7-3
0-4
O/U Home
4-1
3-3
O/U Away
3-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
6:00pm Partly Cloudy
1ºC / 33ºF
82% Humidity
8% Precipitation
42% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type N/A
Field Image
Arrow Image 2
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
Rocky LombardiQBIs out indefinitely, Undisclosed
Cole TuckerWRIs "?" Saturday vs Akron, Undisclosed
Trayvon RudolphWRIs out for season, Undisclosed
Ethan HamptonQBIs out for season, Wrist
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 20, 2018W.MICH21-28L-6.5/48.5-L/O106156262942853792
Nov 14, 2018MI-OH7-13L-6.5/48-L/U212157369941072012
Nov 7, 2018TOLEDO38-15W-3.5/54-W/U2961314271672644312
Nov 1, 2018AKRON36-26W-6/37-W/O29618848435326361-1
Oct 27, 2018BYU7-6W+6.5/44-W/U8911520493208301-1
Oct 13, 2018OHIO24-21W-5.5/52-L/U25514540046275321-3
Oct 6, 2018BALLST24-16W-3/54-W/U2271433701312603910
Sep 29, 2018E.MICH26-23W+3.5/50.5-W/U235121356621802422
Sep 22, 2018FLAST19-37L+10/45.5-L/O6215221121352473-4
Sep 15, 2018CMICH24-16W-14/48-L/U180104284164158322-1
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 23, 2018BGREEN44-14W-15.5/63-W/U33215148358147205-1
Nov 14, 2018OHIO17-52L+2.5/65.5-L/O1571202774372096464
Nov 6, 2018KENT48-14W-17/48-W/O358120478100831831
Oct 30, 2018MI-OH51-42W-7/53-W/O147358505140313453-1
Oct 20, 2018TOLEDO31-17W+3/63-W/U137326463158137295-1
Oct 13, 2018AKRON24-6W-12/55-W/U2232124351201152350
Oct 6, 2018CMICH34-24W-6.5/52-W/O307127434168172340-3
Sep 29, 2018ARMY13-42L-7.5/54.5-L/O10315225528191372-1
Sep 22, 2018RUTGER42-13W-6/53.5-W/O1822634451161682842
Sep 15, 2018E.MICH35-28W-3/54-W/O1643254891423484900
View Game Logs