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Notre Dame Hopes to Snap Four-Game Losing Streak at Michigan on Saturday

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four road games against the Michigan Wolverines. The Fighting Irish will need to snap out of this slump with a road win if they hope to keep their College Football Playoff hopes alive.

Matchup Information
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Michigan Wolverines (Matchup Report)
  • Date/Time: October 26, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Coverage: ABC
  • Opening Odds: Michigan -2.5 | O/U 51 (Line History)

Opening Odds Analysis

Some books have the Wolverines at -2 while others have them at -2.5, but there hasn’t been any early movement. This will be Michigan’s second straight home game as a single-digit favorite after going off at -10 or higher in its previous 24 instances as a home favorite.

Notre Dame News & Notes

The Fighting Irish almost let a 20-3 lead against the USC Trojans slip away at home last Saturday, but they held on for a 30-27 win. Notre Dame improved to 5-1 SU with the victory but fell to 4-2 ATS on the season after failing to cover as a 10-point favorite. Tony Jones Jr. had his third straight game with over 100 rushing yards, racking up 176 on 25 carries against USC.

This is Notre Dame’s last game of the season against a currently ranked opponent. The team’s odds of making the College Football Playoff with one loss are slim, but at No. 8 in the AP Top 25 poll heading into this weekend, it’s still possible. Notre Dame is 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of October.

Michigan News & Notes

Michigan had a chance to put its early-season 35-14 road loss to the Wisconsin Badgers in the past with a road win over the Penn State Nittany Lions last Saturday, but the team fell short in a 28-21 loss. The Wolverines are 3-1 SU and ATS since that Wisconsin game, but the loss against Penn State likely brings their playoff hopes to an end.

Still, the Wolverines have plenty to play for down the stretch with rivalry games at home against Notre Dame, Michigan State and Ohio State. Michigan is 11-0 SU and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 games at home with an average margin of victory of 26.4 points.

Betting Pick: Fighting Irish +2.5

This should be a hard-fought, low-scoring game that could go either way. But Notre Dame has been more consistent on both offense and defense this season; that consistency has a good chance of leading to a road upset.

Shark Bites
  • Notre Dame is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games after a win.
  • Michigan is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games after an ATS win.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Notre Dame’s last 9 games.