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TCU Bettors are Just Fine With Horned Frogs as Double-Digit Dogs

The Ohio State Buckeyes play their final game without Urban Meyer on the sidelines Saturday night in Arlington. It will be their first real test of the season and the pressure is on Ryan Day after two laughers to begin the season at home. As of Friday at most books monitored by OddsShark, Ohio State was a 12.5-point favorite for the road contest in front of a massively partisan Texas Christian crowd at Jerry’s World. This will be the first meeting between these schools since 1973.

  • TCU is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as the underdog.
  • Ohio State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the Big 12.
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of Ohio State’s last four games with an average combined score of 60.5.

Ohio State vs TCU Game Center

TCU Can Cover the Spread

The four combined games these teams have played so far this year have been nothing but reps leading into a legitimate game as the No. 4 and No. 15 teams in the nation meet in prime time on ABC in Week 3.

TCU has covered the spread in nine of its last 12 games as the underdog as it doesn’t get the same hype as some of the “sexier” schools in the NCAA. Some of the schools they’ve covered the spread against over that stretch? Texas, West Virginia and Oklahoma (twice).

The Horned Frogs have shown that they can score touchdowns any way you want them to, compiling five passing touchdowns, five rushing touchdowns, two fumbles returned to the house, and two punts returned for scores. When all three teams – offense, defense and specials – are getting the job done, that keeps the opposition on its toes and opens the door for points at any time.

The Buckeyes defense hasn’t spent much time on the field early in the season but has managed to come up with two interceptions and two forced fumbles while holding opponents to an average of 263 yards.

Ohio State is Ohio State

You don’t get the No. 4 ranking in the nation by accident and I don’t need to rehash the success of the Buckeyes program as they enter this important non-conference game. Sophomore QB Dwayne Haskins has completed a remarkable 79.2 percent of his pass attempts in 2018 and has already thrown for nine touchdowns despite giving way to Tate Martell in both games. Haskins is averaging 10.3 yards per pass, which will certainly put the pressure on TCU’s secondary. However, he has had plenty of time to make those plays in the first two weeks.

Haskins has spread the ball around to a plethora of receivers. Fifteen players have made catches for Ohio State through two games, with K.J. Hill leading the way with 11 catches for 107 yards. Terry McLaurin has been the big-play guy with 172 yards and three TDs on just five receptions.

Corey Bethley (3.0 sacks) and Ty Summers (2.0 sacks) will be hunting from the TCU line and undoubtedly providing the most resistance yet to the Ohio State O-line. TCU’s defense only has two picks and one forced fumble, but it’s hard to create turnovers when your team always has the ball. The TCU defense has held opposing offenses to just 213.5 yards of total offense per game.

The Deciding Factor in this Game Will Be…

If Dwayne Haskins is who his supporters think he is. Haskins will get his first legitimate opportunity to make Buckeyes fans forget about J.T. Barrett. The Horned Frogs allowed just two passes of more than 10 yards last week against SMU and the entire secondary contributed to snuff out the passing game for just 111 yards. This is the matchup to watch for spread bettors in Week 3.

If you’re like me and you think TCU is able to cover, keep an eye on our game center page and where the consensus money is heading. If it’s going in the direction of Ohio State, wait it out before booking the Horned Frogs.