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Buckeyes Favored Over Wolverines in Ann Arbor

Coming off impressive Week 12 performances, Ohio State (10-1 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) and Michigan (10-1, 9-2) gear up for a high-stakes game in Ann Arbor on Saturday afternoon. The Buckeyes dominated seventh-ranked Michigan State to the tune of 56-7 at home while the Wolverines went on the road and hammered Maryland 59-18.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan Wolverines
  • Date/Time: November 27, 12 noon ET
  • Stadium: Michigan Stadium
  • TV Coverage: Fox
  • Opening Odds: Ohio State -6 | O/U 66 (Line History)
  • Ohio State vs Michigan Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

In a matchup of top College Football Playoff hopefuls, Ohio State opened as a 6-point favorite over Michigan, which has never beaten the Buckeyes under Jim Harbaugh. The line has gone up to -8 at most sportsbooks, with -7.5 available in some spots as well. Similar movement has been evident in the total, which opened at 66 points and has dipped to either 63.5 or 64.

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Ohio State News & Notes

Ryan Day’s team appears to have found its footing after a marginal start – at least by Ohio State standards – that included a loss at home to Oregon.

Quick starts have keyed the turnaround, which has the Buckeyes sprinting toward a CFP spot. Consider that in Weeks 1 to 3, Ohio State was outscored 34-30 in the first half. Since then, the Buckeyes have walloped opponents 297-74 before the break.

That translates to an average score of roughly 37-9, meaning Ohio State has essentially gone into halftime with a four-touchdown lead in every game since Week 4 began.

Michigan News & Notes

Looking for their first win against Ohio State since 2011, the Wolverines appear to be better positioned than in previous years.

They are ranked seventh in scoring defense, allowing 16.3 points per game, and are No. 15 in the country in scoring offense, averaging 36.9 points per game, displaying the type of balance Harbaugh has been seeking.

Michigan’s run game is averaging 218.4 yards on the ground per game, which is second in the Big Ten and 15th in the FBS, allowing the Wolverines to work with play-action and control the clock.

How Ohio State Will Cover

There is perhaps no team playing as well as the Buckeyes are right now. Their offense is humming and their defense is stepping up when they need it. All the Buckeyes need to do is continue what they have been doing.

How Michigan Will Cover

The Wolverines will need their front four to control the line of scrimmage on defense, but also will need to produce with the ground game to keep CJ Stroud and Ohio State’s offense off the field and limit their possessions. If they can do that and capitalize on red-zone trips, they have a shot.

Computer Pick: Ohio State -8

For more Week 13 college football predictions, visit our NCAAF Computer Picks page.

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Shark Bites
  • Ohio State is 8-0 SU in its last 8 vs Michigan.
  • Michigan is 6-0 SU in its last 6 home games.
  • Ohio State is 13-0 SU in its last 13 road games.