The No. 8 Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS over their last eight games. The Cowboys will try to extend their win streak to nine games with a road win over the Iowa State Cyclones (4-2, 3-3) on Saturday afternoon.
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
The Cyclones opened as 6-point home favorites and have since been bet up to Iowa State -7. The total, meanwhile, has remained steady in this matchup at 47 points. The OVER is 4-2 in the last six meetings between Iowa State and Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State News & Notes
Oklahoma State earned its third straight win against a ranked team last Saturday in a 32-24 road win over the Texas Longhorns. Jaylen Warren rushed for 193 yards in the victory. Warren has been a one-man wrecking crew for the Cowboys offense over the team’s last four games with a whopping 128 carries and 659 rushing yards.
The Cowboys have passed both of their road tests as underdogs this season with their win over Texas as 3.5-point underdogs and their 21-20 win as 3.5-point road underdogs at Boise State in Week 3. Oklahoma State has always shown a lot of bite as a dog in recent years with a 10-3 ATS record and seven outright upsets in its last 13 instances as one.
Iowa State News & Notes
Iowa State picked up its second straight win and cover on Saturday in a 33-20 road win over the Kansas State Wildcats as 6.5-point favorites. The recipe for success has been consistent for the Cyclones this season: feed the ball to Breece Hall on offense and let the defense take care of the rest. Hall has rushed for 748 yards on 134 carries and has two rushing touchdowns in each of Iowa State’s last four games.
The Cyclones rank third in the nation in total defense, allowing only 251.3 total yards per game, and 13th in scoring defense at 16.3 points per game. This type of success is quite rare in the high-octane Big 12, but it should be noted that many of the division’s heavy hitters on offense, including Oklahoma, Texas, TCU and Texas Tech, are all still ahead on the schedule.
Why Oklahoma State Will Cover
Iowa State came into the season ranked No. 7, but the Cyclones have failed their two toughest tests of the season in a 27-17 loss at home against the Iowa Hawkeyes and a 31-29 loss on the road against the Baylor Bears. Putting aside preseason expectations, Oklahoma State getting 7 points in what should be a competitive game looks like a gift.
Why Iowa State Will Cover
The Cyclones and the Cowboys both enter this game with excellent rushing attacks and excellent rushing defenses. If the running game turns out to be a wash, Iowa State’s superior passing game, pass defense and home-field advantage could be the keys to a win and cover.
Computer Pick: Iowa State -7
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