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Ole Miss The Best OVER Bet In The Nation

It has not exactly been a banner year for Ole Miss football. The Rebels are 4-5 overall and sixth in the seven-team SEC West division. However, bettors would be wise to remember Ole Miss next time they are at the betting window.

Ole Miss has gone OVER in eight of their nine games with a listed total this season – including each of their past six. This tremendous OVER run is thanks to a combination of the pass-heavy offense and their doormat of a defense.

Ole Miss ranks 26th in the nation in total yards and 41st in points per game. That is to be expected from an offense that is in the top 10 in the nation in passing yards, completions and yards per passing attempt. Bettors were likely skeptical that this could continue once starting quarterback Shea Patterson went down with a season-ending knee injury but the offense has not missed a beat with Jordan Ta’amu.

In Ta’amu’s two starts for Ole Miss, the team has scored a combined 74 points and racked up 1,039 yards of offense. Interim head coach Matt Luke has the Rebels clicking on offense and that likely won’t change with the team facing Louisiana and Texas A&M in two of their final three games – both programs that rank outside the top 70 against the pass.

Now to talk about the nearly non-existent Ole Miss defense. The Rebels are 118th in the country in total defense, which includes 127th against the run. The only teams worse than Ole Miss at stopping the run are Tulsa, UCLA and San Jose State. The Rebels front line routinely fields smaller, faster players to get after the opposing quarterback. Though that has resulted in a healthy number of sacks, it has come at a price.

With only three games left in their season, Ole Miss is not going to change. This team is simply who they are. They are going to heave the ball down the field and get run over on defense. That means that the OVER should still be an attractive bet moving forward, even against some lackluster offenses.